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87 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 28, 2026

PPCB — Propanc Biopharma, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track PPCB dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 28, 2026, Propanc Biopharma, Inc. (PPCB) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 87/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Propanc Biopharma, Inc. has a market capitalization of $4.15M, 56.96M shares outstanding, 7 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $4.00M, ATM program capacity of $7.00M, 1.0K outstanding warrants, approximately 0 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
92
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

Dilution Forecast

🌩️
Severe
Multiple high-probability dilution events detected
54%
💰 Capital Raise 93%
• Critical: only 0.4 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($4M, 96% of market cap)
🔄 Reverse Split 15%
• Only 0 months cash — financial pressure
📉 Score Deterioration 15%
• Score already CRITICAL (87/100) — events likely imminent
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Market Data

Market Cap$4.15M
Shares Outstanding56.96M
Float1.63M
Cash$93.2K
Debt$1.01M
Short InterestN/A

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 258.8% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
7 institutional holders · 462.4K shares
#1 UBS Group AG 182.6K shares
#2 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 143.2K shares
#3 Marex Group plc 67.7K shares
+ 4 more holders Sign up free to view →

Short Interest

Short Interest133.5K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float8.2%
FINRA data as of Jul 15, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-07-07
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2025-06-30
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-04-20
S-1 SHELF 2026-04-10
424B3 ATM 2026-03-06
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

Recent News

No recent news

What This Means for PPCB Shareholders

Propanc Biopharma, Inc. (PPCB) carries a DilutionScore of 87/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 28, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for PPCB is its shelf registration capacity of $4.0M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. PPCB has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $7.0M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for PPCB in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in PPCB's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. The DilutionWatch shows real-time score changes for PPCB alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

Understanding Shelf Registrations → How ATM Offerings Work →

Understanding PPCB's Dilution Risk Factors

Primary Risk Drivers

The most concerning factors driving dilution risk for Propanc Biopharma are Offering Ability and Cash Runway. Offering Ability is at maximum risk, indicating the company has the capability to issue new shares without significant restrictions, which directly increases potential dilution. Cash Runway is also extremely high, with only 0.4 months of cash remaining, signaling an urgent need for capital. This combination creates a dangerous scenario where the company can easily raise funds through share issuance while simultaneously facing imminent liquidity issues.

Factors Currently Not a Concern

Warrant Exposure and Convertible Note Risk are currently low, suggesting that existing warrants and convertible notes do not pose an immediate threat. However, any significant change in these instruments—such as an increase in outstanding warrants or the conversion of convertible notes—would elevate their risk scores. A filing indicating new warrant grants or a conversion event would be the trigger for increased concern.

SEC Filings to Watch

Several SEC filings are critical to monitor. An S-3 registration statement signals potential large-scale equity offerings, which could severely dilute existing shareholders. A 424B5 filing indicates a shelf offering, often used for future fundraising. An 8-K Item 1.01 reports material events such as new issuances or significant agreements that may increase share count. Additionally, a 10-Q filing showing declining cash reserves or new debt/convertible notes would signal worsening financial health.

How Dilution Happens

Dilution occurs when the company issues new shares to raise capital. With Offering Ability at maximum risk, the company can easily issue shares without shareholder approval or significant restrictions. Cash Runway nearing zero forces the company to seek funding quickly, increasing the likelihood of such issuance. Each new share issued reduces the ownership percentage of existing shareholders, directly diminishing their stake in the company’s value.

What Would Make This Worse

A worsening risk profile would occur if the company begins issuing warrants or convertible notes that convert into common stock, or if it files for additional equity offerings. A drop in cash reserves below 0.2 months, combined with an increase in Offering Ability due to new financing plans, would significantly escalate dilution risk. Any indication of upcoming share issuance, even through private placements, could rapidly deteriorate the situation and reduce shareholder value.

Key Insight

While low scores indicate safety, a company with high Offering Ability and extremely short cash runway is at severe risk of immediate share dilution, even if it hasn’t yet issued new shares.

How to Monitor PPCB for Dilution Risk

What This Risk Level Means

For a micro-cap operating company like Propanc Biopharma, a high dilution risk score signals significant exposure to potential equity dilution. Micro-caps are inherently more vulnerable to dilution due to limited capital reserves and fewer regulatory safeguards compared to larger firms. With an elevated offering ability score, the company has strong capacity to raise capital through new equity issuances, which can be both beneficial and dangerous depending on execution. The high cash runway and float risk scores indicate a company that is either running low on cash or has a large outstanding float that could be easily diluted in future offerings.

What Typically Happens Next

Companies with this profile often proceed to file shelf registrations or initiate ATM programs, especially if they are seeking capital for operations or expansion. These mechanisms allow rapid access to funds but also increase the risk of dilution. Warrant exercises and rights offerings are other common strategies used by such companies. The timing is critical — typically, these actions occur within 6–18 months of a high-risk profile being noted, particularly if cash reserves are low or growth plans are ambitious.

Monitoring Playbook

To track PPCB effectively, use DilutionWatch to set alerts for any changes in dilution scores. Monitor quarterly SEC filings and annual reports closely, especially for new equity offerings or capital structure changes. Set thresholds at 80/100 for DilutionScore and 90/100 for Cash Runway. Check these metrics weekly during high-risk periods. If thresholds are breached, review the company's most recent Form S-1, S-3, or prospectus filings to assess upcoming offerings.

Early Warning Signals

Three key warning signs include: 1) A sudden increase in DilutionScore, particularly if it crosses 90/100; 2) Filing of a shelf registration (S-3) or ATM program with no clear stated purpose; 3) An unexpected spike in float risk score, often indicating new equity issuance plans. These signals typically appear before actual dilution occurs and are critical to catch early.

What a Positive Resolution Looks Like

A positive change would occur if the company raises capital through a well-timed, non-dilutive source such as debt financing or strategic partnerships. Alternatively, if warrants expire without being exercised, or if the company successfully pays down debt and reduces outstanding equity, the dilution risk profile would improve. Additionally, a significant reduction in Cash Runway score (e.g., from 95/100 to below 70/100) would indicate improved financial stability.

Watch For

Any new equity offerings or shelf filings, particularly those not tied to operational needs, as these are strong indicators of increased dilution risk.

Full SEC filing analysis available with free account  →
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