68 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

ATER — Aterian, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ATER dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Aterian, Inc. (ATER) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 68/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Aterian, Inc. has a market capitalization of $11.90M, 10.82M shares outstanding, 1 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 10.64M outstanding warrants, approximately 2 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
42
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
60
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
64%
🔄 Reverse Split 70%
• 50-day avg $0.88 below $1 exchange minimum
• Only 2 months cash — financial pressure
📜 Warrant Exercise 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 98% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
💰 Capital Raise 55%
• Critical: only 2.4 months cash remaining
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$11.90M
Shares Outstanding10.82M
Float6.48M
Cash$2.32M
Debt$28.70M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 71.5% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
1 institutional holders · 51.2K shares
#1 BARCLAYS PLC 51.2K shares

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest421.6K
Days to Cover2.0
% of Float6.5%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Jun 30, 2018
8-K 8K EVENT Apr 29, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Jan 23, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Jan 23, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for ATER Shareholders

Aterian, Inc. (ATER) has a DilutionScore of 68/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

DilutionWatch tracks 10.6M outstanding warrants for ATER. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: ATER has approximately 2 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for ATER in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for ATER alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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🔬 More Research for ATER
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