88 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

ASBP — Aspire Biopharma Holdings, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ASBP dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Aspire Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (ASBP) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 88/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Aspire Biopharma Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $7.11M, 1.30M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $20.00M, 44.00M outstanding warrants, approximately 10 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
90
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
55%
📜 Warrant Exercise 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 3397% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 144% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
💰 Capital Raise 35%
• Under 12 months cash (10mo)
• Active shelf registration ($20M, 281% of market cap)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$7.11M
Shares Outstanding1.30M
Float1.20M
Cash$5.86M
Debt$1.50M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 12.5K shares
#1 UBS Group AG 6.4K shares
#2 Morgan Stanley 2.6K shares
#3 Geode Capital Management, LLC 1.4K shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest101.4K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float8.4%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2024
8-K 8K EVENT Jun 22, 2026
8-K/A 8K EVENT Apr 17, 2026
8-K 8K EVENT Apr 16, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

📋 What This Means for ASBP Shareholders

Aspire Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (ASBP) carries a DilutionScore of 88/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for ASBP is its shelf registration capacity of $20.0M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. DilutionWatch tracks 44.0M outstanding warrants for ASBP. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for ASBP in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in ASBP's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for ASBP alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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🔬 More Research for ASBP
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