As of July 13, 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $134.87M, 57.64M shares outstanding, 74 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 2 months of cash runway.
Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.
📊 Score Breakdown
🔄Convertible Debt—
🌦️ Dilution Forecast
🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
34%
💰 Capital Raise
55%
• Critical: only 1.8 months cash remaining
🔄 Reverse Split
15%
• Only 2 months cash — financial pressure
📉 Score Deterioration
10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
💹 Market Data
Market Cap$134.87M
Shares Outstanding57.64M
Float41.87M
Cash$9.00M
Debt$218.82M
Short InterestN/A
🏛 Institutional Holdings
QoQ: ↑ 18.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
74 institutional holders · 24.47M shares
#1
Blackstone Inc.
9.62M shares
#2
FIRST MANHATTAN CO. LLC.
5.76M shares
#3
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
2.32M shares
📉 Short Interest
Short Interest1.41M
Days to Cover2.7
% of Float3.4%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026
📁 Recent SEC Activity
xbrl
XBRL WARRANT
Dec 31, 2025
xbrl
XBRL CONVERTIBLE
Dec 31, 2024
4
INSIDER TRANSACTION
Mar 11, 2026
4
INSIDER TRANSACTION
Mar 11, 2026
3
FORM3
Mar 11, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account
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📰 Recent News
No recent news
📋 What This Means for BAER Shareholders
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 13, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.
Cash runway is a key watch item: BAER has approximately 2 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.
DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for BAER in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for BAER alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.
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