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51 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

BBAI — BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track BBAI dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 51/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.10B, 479.49M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
60
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
12
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
model est. 7%
💰 Capital Raise model 15%
• Under 12 months cash (8mo)
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Market Data

Market Cap$1.10B
Shares Outstanding479.49M
Float475.27M
Cash$36.28M
Debt$16.56M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore51/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding479.49MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float475.27MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$1.10BMarket data cache
Cash Runway8.5 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 3 1, 4 4, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 130.24M shares
#1 Blackrock Inc. 35.60M shares
#2 Vanguard Group Inc 32.70M shares
#3 UBS Group AG 10.39M shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest140.86M
Days to Cover10.3
% of Float29.6%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-05-05
xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-02
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-09-30
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-09-30
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-09-30
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

Factual BBAI Dilution Snapshot

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has a DilutionScore of 51/100, rated High dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

BBAI's DilutionScore is currently 51/100 (High risk), with 3 score changes tracked over 90 days. The score deteriorated from 52/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 12 – Oct 13, 202651/100HIGH2 days
Oct 09 – Oct 11, 202652/100HIGH3 days
Aug 14 – Oct 08, 202640/100MEDIUM56 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202624/100LOW29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

BBAI shares outstanding have increased 4.6% from 457.89M (Feb 2026) to 478.95M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 29, 2026478.95M475.27M▼ 0.11%
May 27, 2026478.95M475.78M▲ 0.01%
May 07, 2026478.95M475.68M▲ 0.69%
May 04, 2026478.95M472.41M▲ 0.37%
Apr 07, 2026476.06M470.66M▼ 0.43%
Mar 28, 2026476.06M472.67M▲ 0.01%
Mar 20, 2026476.06M472.61M▼ 0.04%
Mar 06, 2026457.89M472.81M▲ 0.06%
Mar 04, 2026457.89M472.51M▲ 8.95%
Feb 14, 2026457.89M433.34M—
Feb 13, 2026457.89M433.34M—
Feb 12, 2026457.89M433.34M—

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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