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86 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Aug 02, 2026

ADTX — Aditxt, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ADTX dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of August 02, 2026, Aditxt, Inc. (ADTX) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 86/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Aditxt, Inc. has 815.9K shares outstanding. Key dilution vectors include 698.8K outstanding warrants, approximately 6 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
80
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄Convertible Debt

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
43%
📜 Warrant Exercise 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 86% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
💰 Capital Raise 35%
• Low cash runway: 6 months remaining
🔁 Convertible Conversion 15%
• Convertible debt present: 13.7% potential dilution
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Market Data

Market CapN/A
Shares Outstanding815.9K
Float510.2K
Cash$12.92M
Debt$5
Short InterestN/A

Institutional Holdings

0.1% institutional ownership
Source: Yahoo Finance · Detailed 13F holder data available for tracked tickers
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Short Interest

Short Interest3.75M
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float734.3%
FINRA data as of Jul 15, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-31
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2025-12-31
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-06-25
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-06-24
3 FORM3 2026-06-24
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

Recent News

What This Means for ADTX Shareholders

Aditxt, Inc. (ADTX) carries a DilutionScore of 86/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of August 02, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

DilutionWatch tracks 698,798 outstanding warrants for ADTX. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: ADTX has approximately 6 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for ADTX in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch shows real-time score changes for ADTX alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

Warrants Explained →

Understanding ADTX's Dilution Risk Factors

Primary Risk Drivers

The most concerning factors driving dilution risk for Aditxt, Inc. are Offering Ability and Warrant Exposure. Offering Ability scores at a critical level, indicating the company has strong potential to raise capital through new equity offerings that could significantly dilute existing shareholders. This is compounded by Warrant Exposure, which is also extremely high, suggesting a large number of warrants may be exercised, leading to further issuance of shares. These two factors together create a dangerous combination where the company can easily increase its share count without shareholder approval, directly reducing ownership percentage for current investors.

Factors Currently Not a Concern

While several factors remain low-risk, they still require monitoring. Float Risk sits at a moderate level, meaning that although there is limited risk from institutional or insider selling, any sudden large sale could trigger a spike in this metric. Convertible Note Risk is currently low, but if new convertible notes are issued without proper protections for existing shareholders, it could quickly escalate. Changes in either area—such as a public offering or the issuance of new convertible debt—would be key indicators that these low-risk areas are becoming problematic.

SEC Filings to Watch

Several SEC filings should be closely monitored for signs of increasing dilution risk. An S-3 registration statement could indicate an upcoming equity offering, directly impacting share count. A 424B5 filing often signals the launch of a new equity offering or warrant exercise program. An 8-K Item 1.01 may disclose material events such as new financing rounds or changes in capital structure that affect shareholder dilution. Additionally, a 10-Q filing might reveal declining cash reserves, which could lead to future capital-raising activities and increased dilution risk.

How Dilution Happens

Dilution occurs when the company issues new shares, increasing the total number of outstanding shares. High Offering Ability means the company can readily raise funds by issuing more stock, directly reducing existing shareholders' percentage ownership. Warrant Exposure indicates that warrants may be exercised at a future date, injecting additional shares into circulation. Each time a warrant is exercised or a new offering is completed, the share base grows, and current investors see their ownership percentage shrink unless they participate in the new issuance.

What Would Make This Worse

A worsening risk profile could occur if the company issues convertible notes with low conversion prices or enters into agreements that allow for automatic share issuance upon certain triggers. If a large portion of warrants are exercised simultaneously, or if the company begins issuing new shares at a rapid pace through multiple offerings, this would significantly increase dilution pressure. Additionally, a drop in cash reserves below critical thresholds could force the company to issue more equity, further accelerating dilution.

Key Insight

Despite all scores using an inverted scale where higher numbers indicate greater risk, understanding that low scores represent safer conditions is crucial for interpreting the data correctly.

How to Monitor ADTX for Dilution Risk

What This Risk Level Means

A high dilution risk score for Aditxt, Inc. signals that the company is operating in a financially precarious environment where shareholder value is under significant threat. As an operating company, ADTX’s business model depends on sustained capital availability to fund operations and growth. The elevated scores for Offering Ability and Cash Runway indicate that the firm may be actively seeking new equity financing or is close to exhausting its available cash reserves. With a score of 86/100, the company's risk level reflects a situation where dilution could occur at any time, particularly if capital-raising activities increase or cash burn accelerates. This is especially concerning for a company of its size and type, where maintaining financial stability is critical to long-term viability.

What Typically Happens Next

Companies with similar risk profiles often proceed through financing events such as shelf registrations or ATM programs to raise capital. Warrant exposure at a high level suggests that the company may be preparing for or executing warrant exercises, which can dilute existing shareholders. Convertible note risk also indicates potential future equity issuances, particularly if these notes mature or convert into shares. The timing of such events often correlates with cash runway pressures, where companies may issue new stock to extend operational life. Monitoring for upcoming SEC filings related to capital raises or warrant expirations is essential in assessing the next steps.

Monitoring Playbook

To effectively track ADTX using DilutionWatch, set up alerts for any changes in Offering Ability, Cash Runway, and Warrant Exposure scores. A threshold of 5 points upward in any of these areas should trigger a review. Check the company’s filings monthly or bi-weekly, especially during earnings seasons or when new financial announcements are expected. Use Shelf & ATM Monitor to track any new equity offerings or capital-raising activities that may impact share count. When thresholds are hit, investigate the nature of the funding and assess whether it includes dilutive securities like warrants or convertible notes.

Early Warning Signals

Three specific warning signals in SEC filings or score changes include: 1) A sudden spike in Offering Ability scores, indicating a potential new equity offering; 2) An increase in Cash Runway to near maximum risk levels, signaling imminent cash exhaustion; and 3) A drop in Warrant Exposure that suggests warrants are nearing expiry or being exercised. These shifts signal worsening conditions and should prompt immediate action.

What a Positive Resolution Looks Like

A positive resolution would involve a capital raise to replenish cash reserves, thereby reducing the Cash Runway score. Alternatively, a reduction in Warrant Exposure through expiration or early redemption of warrants would lower dilution risk. Debt paydown or a strategic transaction that reduces reliance on equity financing could also help improve the overall profile. Any change that stabilizes or decreases key risk factors—particularly Offering Ability and Warrant Exposure—is a sign of progress.

Watch For

Any sudden increase in Offering Ability or Cash Runway scores, as these may indicate an upcoming equity issuance or financial distress.

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