25 /100
LOW RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

TAL — TAL Education Group Dilution Risk Tracker

Track TAL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, TAL Education Group (TAL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 25/100, rated LOW dilution risk. TAL Education Group has a market capitalization of $5.91B, 192.93M shares outstanding, 229 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 999 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
19
💰 Cash Runway
0
📊 Float Risk
37
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
30%
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 39% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$5.91B
Shares Outstanding192.93M
Float125.80M
Cash$3.24B
Debt$531.95M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 13.7% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
229 institutional holders · 301.25M shares
#1 MORGAN STANLEY 40.88M shares
#2 BlackRock, Inc. 26.84M shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 25.79M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest21.99M
Days to Cover5.2
% of Float17.5%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Feb 28, 2021
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for TAL Shareholders

TAL Education Group (TAL) has a DilutionScore of 25/100, rated Low dilution risk. At this score level, DilutionWatch's real-time EDGAR monitoring shows limited near-term dilution signals. This does not mean zero dilution risk — shelf registrations can be filed and activated quickly — but the current filing profile shows no major outstanding dilution programs. Score as of July 14, 2026.

DilutionWatch's EDGAR monitoring for TAL shows no major active dilution programs at this time. The primary risk categories — shelf registration capacity, ATM programs, warrant overhang, and cash runway — are each within normal ranges for a company of this profile. This can change quickly if a new S-3 or Form S-1 is filed.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for TAL in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for TAL alongside comparable low-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
🔬 More Research for TAL
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Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.