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25 /100
LOW RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

TAL — TAL Education Group Dilution Risk Tracker

Track TAL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, TAL Education Group (TAL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 25/100, rated LOW dilution risk. TAL Education Group has a market capitalization of $2.45B, 192.93M shares outstanding, 229 institutional holders tracked.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
19
💰Cash Runway—
📊 Float Risk
37
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄 Convertible Debt
85

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 30%
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 93% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
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Market Data

Market Cap$2.45B
Shares Outstanding192.93M
Float125.80M
Cash$3.24B
Debt$531.95M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore25/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding192.93MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float125.80MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$2.45BMarket data cache
Cash RunwayNot applicable / unavailableDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 1.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 1.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 13.7% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
229 institutional holders · 301.25M shares
#1 MORGAN STANLEY 40.88M shares
#2 BlackRock, Inc. 26.84M shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 25.79M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest20.46M
Days to Cover6.8
% of Float16.3%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2023-05-31
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual TAL Dilution Snapshot

TAL Education Group (TAL) has a DilutionScore of 25/100, rated Low dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

TAL's DilutionScore is currently 25/100 (Low risk), with 2 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 13/100 (Low risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 19 – Oct 13, 202625/100LOW56 days
Aug 14 – Aug 18, 202613/100LOW4 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202625/100LOW29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

TAL shares outstanding have decreased 0.0% from 461.05M (Mar 2026) to 461.05M (Apr 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
Apr 24, 2026461.05M125.80M▼ 0.23%
Mar 21, 2026461.05M126.10M▼ 0.10%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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