52 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

SEED — Origin Agritech Limited Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SEED dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 52/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Origin Agritech Limited has a market capitalization of $13.71M, 11.92M shares outstanding, 13 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 8 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
46
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
42
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt—

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
24%
🔄 Reverse Split 40%
• 50-day avg $1.21 approaching $1 threshold
• 8 months cash with weak price
💰 Capital Raise 15%
• Under 12 months cash (8mo)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$13.71M
Shares Outstanding11.92M
Float6.87M
Cash$2.23M
Debt$2.18M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 3.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
13 institutional holders · 109.5K shares
#1 Legacy Advisors, LLC 20.8K shares
#2 FIRST WILSHIRE SECURITIES MANAGEMENT INC 19.5K shares
#3 Cetera Investment Advisers 15.3K shares
+ 10 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest57.2K
Days to Cover3.3
% of Float0.8%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Sep 30, 2018
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for SEED Shareholders

Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) has a DilutionScore of 52/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 13, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

Cash runway is a key watch item: SEED has approximately 8 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for SEED in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for SEED alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
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Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.