As of July 13, 2026, Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 34/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Rafael Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $71.26M, 100 shares outstanding, 46 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 2.51M outstanding warrants, approximately 42 months of cash runway.
Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.
📊 Score Breakdown
🔄Convertible Debt—
🌦️ Dilution Forecast
⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
39%
📜 Warrant Exercise
60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 2514970% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔄 Reverse Split
30%
• 50-day avg $1.28 approaching $1 threshold
💹 Market Data
Market Cap$71.26M
Shares Outstanding100
FloatN/A
Cash$50.56M
Debt$21.90M
Short InterestN/A
🏛 Institutional Holdings
QoQ: ↓ 6.1% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
46 institutional holders · 3.71M shares
#1
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
1.26M shares
#2
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
442.4K shares
#3
BlackRock, Inc.
365.6K shares
📉 Short Interest
Short Interest133.6K
Days to Cover1.0
% of FloatN/A
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026
📁 Recent SEC Activity
xbrl
XBRL CONVERTIBLE
Apr 30, 2026
xbrl
XBRL WARRANT
Jul 31, 2025
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account
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📰 Recent News
No recent news
📋 What This Means for RFL Shareholders
Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) has a DilutionScore of 34/100, rated Medium dilution risk. This tier indicates some dilution exposure — often an older shelf registration with remaining capacity, warrants not yet exercised, or a cash position that will require monitoring over the next several quarters. Score as of July 13, 2026.
DilutionWatch tracks 2.5M outstanding warrants for RFL. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window.
DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for RFL in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for RFL alongside comparable medium-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.
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