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54 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

MATH — Metalpha Technology Holding Limited Dilution Risk Tracker

Track MATH dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 54/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Metalpha Technology Holding Limited has a market capitalization of $50.88M, 47.11M shares outstanding, 13 institutional holders tracked.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
42
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
42
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
35

Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
model est. 38%
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 45%
• 50-day avg $1.08 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 5 months cash — financial pressure
💰 Capital Raise model 35%
• Low cash runway: 5 months remaining
📉 Score Deterioration model 25%
• Score increased 14 points recently (worsening)
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Market Data

Market Cap$50.88M
Shares Outstanding47.11M
Float23.13M
Cash$3.91M
Debt$118.4K
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore54/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding47.11MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float23.13MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$50.88MMarket data cache
Cash Runway4.8 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 1.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 1.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 13.8% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
13 institutional holders · 987.9K shares
#1 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 543.9K shares
#2 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 138.6K shares
#3 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 70.0K shares
+ 10 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest50.8K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float0.2%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2022-03-11
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual MATH Dilution Snapshot

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) has a DilutionScore of 54/100, rated High dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

MATH's DilutionScore is currently 54/100 (High risk), with 1 score change tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 40/100 (Medium risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 13, 202654/100HIGH1 day
Jul 16 – Oct 12, 202640/100MEDIUM88 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

MATH shares outstanding have decreased 0.0% from 43.41M (Apr 2026) to 43.41M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 17, 202643.41M23.13M▼ 1.69%
Apr 26, 202643.41M23.53M▲ 13.42%
Apr 07, 202643.41M20.75M▼ 11.83%
Apr 01, 202643.41M23.53M▲ 13.89%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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