40 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

MATH — Metalpha Technology Holding Limited Dilution Risk Tracker

Track MATH dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 40/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Metalpha Technology Holding Limited has a market capitalization of $45.58M, 39.50M shares outstanding, 13 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 17 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
40
📊 Float Risk
42
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

Watch
Minor dilution signals detected
19%
🔄 Reverse Split 30%
• 50-day avg $1.08 approaching $1 threshold
🔁 Convertible Conversion 15%
• Convertible debt present: 7.3% potential dilution
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$45.58M
Shares Outstanding39.50M
Float23.13M
Cash$3.91M
Debt$118.4K
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 13.8% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
13 institutional holders · 987.9K shares
#1 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 543.9K shares
#2 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 138.6K shares
#3 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 70.0K shares
+ 10 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest45.0K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float0.2%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE May 28, 2021
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for MATH Shareholders

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) has a DilutionScore of 40/100, rated Medium dilution risk. This tier indicates some dilution exposure — often an older shelf registration with remaining capacity, warrants not yet exercised, or a cash position that will require monitoring over the next several quarters. Score as of July 13, 2026.

Cash runway is a key watch item: MATH has approximately 17 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for MATH in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for MATH alongside comparable medium-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.