As of July 14, 2026, Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 74/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Fossil Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of $258.87M, 59.10M shares outstanding, 90 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 6 months of cash runway.
Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.
📊 Score Breakdown
🔄Convertible Debt—
🌦️ Dilution Forecast
⛅
Watch
Minor dilution signals detected
24%
💰 Capital Raise
35%
• Low cash runway: 6 months remaining
🔄 Reverse Split
15%
• Only 6 months cash — financial pressure
📉 Score Deterioration
10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (74/100)
💹 Market Data
Market Cap$258.87M
Shares Outstanding59.10M
Float47.74M
Cash$81.38M
Debt$203.39M
Short InterestN/A
🏛 Institutional Holdings
QoQ: ↑ 18.7% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
90 institutional holders · 37.61M shares
#1
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC
5.40M shares
#2
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
4.26M shares
#3
Miller Value Partners, LLC
2.43M shares
📉 Short Interest
Short Interest4.30M
Days to Cover3.2
% of Float9.0%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026
📁 Recent SEC Activity
4
INSIDER TRANSACTION
Apr 17, 2026
4
INSIDER TRANSACTION
Apr 17, 2026
4
INSIDER TRANSACTION
Apr 17, 2026
4
INSIDER TRANSACTION
Apr 17, 2026
4
INSIDER TRANSACTION
Mar 18, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account
→
📰 Recent News
No recent news
📋 What This Means for FOSL Shareholders
Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) has a DilutionScore of 74/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.
Cash runway is a key watch item: FOSL has approximately 6 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.
DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for FOSL in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for FOSL alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.
Track FOSL Dilution Risk in Real-Time
Get instant alerts when SEC filings impact dilution risk. Free tier available.
Start Tracking FOSL — Free
Real-time SEC alerts
DilutionScore™ tracking
No credit card required
🔬 More Research for FOSL
Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.