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83 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

XELB — Xcel Brands, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track XELB dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 83/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Xcel Brands, Inc. has a market capitalization of $2.98M, 6.56M shares outstanding, 9 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include shelf registration capacity of $2.00M, 3.15M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
82
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
42
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 64%
💰 Capital Raise model 75%
• Critical: only 0.6 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($2M, 67% of market cap)
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 48% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 45%
• 50-day avg $1.93 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 1 months cash — financial pressure
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Market Data

Market Cap$2.98M
Shares Outstanding6.56M
Float4.15M
Cash$399.0K
Debt$12.09M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore83/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding6.56MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float4.15MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$2.98MMarket data cache
Cash Runway0.6 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity$2.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants3.15MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 3, 8-K 1, S-1 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 8.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
9 institutional holders · 909.9K shares
#1 Potomac Capital Management, Inc. 408.4K shares
#2 Summit Trail Advisors, LLC 331.4K shares
#3 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 57.9K shares
+ 6 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest19.9K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float0.5%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-04-15
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2017-03-24
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-03-03
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-02-24
S-1 SHELF 2026-02-04
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual XELB Dilution Snapshot

Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) has a DilutionScore of 83/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

XELB's DilutionScore is currently 83/100 (Critical risk), with 4 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 75/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 11 – Oct 13, 202683/100CRITICAL3 days
Oct 01 – Oct 10, 202675/100HIGH10 days
Aug 22 – Sep 30, 202665/100HIGH40 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202666/100HIGH7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202665/100HIGH29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

XELB shares outstanding have increased 2.0% from 5.89M (Mar 2026) to 6.01M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 09, 20266.01M4.15M▲ 2.43%
Apr 26, 20266.01M4.05M▲ 0.73%
Apr 20, 20265.89M4.02M▲ 0.16%
Apr 16, 20265.91M4.01M▲ 23.02%
Mar 17, 20265.89M3.26M▼ 0.25%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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