65 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

XELB — Xcel Brands, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track XELB dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Xcel Brands, Inc. has a market capitalization of $13.17M, 6.05M shares outstanding, 9 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $2.00M, 115.0K outstanding warrants, approximately 0 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
52
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
53%
💰 Capital Raise 75%
• Critical: only 0.3 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($2M, 15% of market cap)
🔄 Reverse Split 45%
• 50-day avg $1.93 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 0 months cash — financial pressure
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$13.17M
Shares Outstanding6.05M
Float4.15M
Cash$179.0K
Debt$12.59M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 8.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
9 institutional holders · 909.9K shares
#1 Potomac Capital Management, Inc. 408.4K shares
#2 Summit Trail Advisors, LLC 331.4K shares
#3 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 57.9K shares
+ 6 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest19.8K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float0.5%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2015
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Mar 03, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Feb 24, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Feb 04, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for XELB Shareholders

Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

The most significant dilution vector for XELB is its shelf registration capacity of $2.0M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. DilutionWatch tracks 115,000 outstanding warrants for XELB. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for XELB in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in XELB's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for XELB alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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📖 Dilution Education
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