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70 /100
COMPONENT-LIMITED
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

WALD — Waldencast plc Dilution Risk Tracker

Track WALD dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Waldencast plc (WALD) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 70/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. This is a component-limited score because one or more material inputs are unavailable or not applicable. Waldencast plc has a market capitalization of $7.04M, 8.00M shares outstanding, 67 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include 29.53M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
60
💰 Cash Runway
40
📊Float Risk—
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 46%
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 369% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
📉 Score Deterioration model 35%
• Score increased 11 points recently (worsening)
• Score in HIGH risk zone (70/100)
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 30%
• 50-day avg $1.14 approaching $1 threshold
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Market Data

Market Cap$7.04M
Shares Outstanding8.00M
FloatN/A
Cash$30.38M
Debt$136.52M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore70/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding8.00MVerified float table or market cache
Public FloatNot availableVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$7.04MMarket data cache
Cash Runway15.8 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants29.53MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 2.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 61.2% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
67 institutional holders · 34.35M shares
#1 Zeno Equity Partners LLP 24.51M shares
#2 Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda. 2.43M shares
#3 BlackRock, Inc. 1.99M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest237.3K
Days to Cover1.0
% of FloatN/A
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-13
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-03-13
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual WALD Dilution Snapshot

Waldencast plc (WALD) has a DilutionScore of 70/100, rated High dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

WALD's DilutionScore is currently 70/100 (High risk), with 3 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 59/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 13, 202670/100HIGH1 day
Oct 11 – Oct 12, 202659/100HIGH2 days
Sep 28 – Oct 10, 202639/100MEDIUM13 days
Jul 16 – Sep 27, 202629/100MEDIUM73 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

WALD shares outstanding have increased 4.1% from 113.59M (Mar 2026) to 118.24M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 23, 2026118.24M42.15M▼ 0.24%
Apr 21, 2026118.24M42.25M▼ 0.22%
Apr 03, 2026118.24M42.34M▼ 3.61%
Mar 17, 2026113.59M43.93M▲ 0.31%
Mar 15, 2026113.59M43.79M▲ 0.02%
Mar 14, 2026113.59M43.78M▲ 4.57%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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Score Coverage Note