64 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

VXRT — Vaxart, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track VXRT dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Vaxart, Inc. (VXRT) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 64/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Vaxart, Inc. has a market capitalization of $156.84M, 241.97M shares outstanding, 7 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $300.00M, ATM program capacity of $49.77M, 10.45M outstanding warrants, approximately 7 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
0
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
50%
🔄 Reverse Split 65%
• 50-day avg $0.69 below $1 exchange minimum
• 7 months cash with weak price
💰 Capital Raise 53%
• Under 12 months cash (7mo)
• Active shelf registration ($300M, 191% of market cap)
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (64/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$156.84M
Shares Outstanding241.97M
Float238.37M
Cash$32.31M
Debt$17.74M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 308.3% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
7 institutional holders · 355.2K shares
#1 Leonteq Securities AG 199.1K shares
#2 BARCLAYS PLC 99.4K shares
#3 Heritage Wealth Advisors 29.7K shares
+ 4 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest2.59M
Days to Cover3.5
% of Float1.1%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2023
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2018
424B5 ATM May 04, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION May 01, 2026
3 FORM3 May 01, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for VXRT Shareholders

Vaxart, Inc. (VXRT) has a DilutionScore of 64/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

The most significant dilution vector for VXRT is its shelf registration capacity of $300.0M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. VXRT has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $49.8M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for VXRT in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for VXRT alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
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