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79 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

VWAV — VisionWave Holdings, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track VWAV dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, VisionWave Holdings, Inc. (VWAV) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 79/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. VisionWave Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $130.37M, 28.84M shares outstanding, 29 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include shelf registration capacity of $50.00M, ATM program capacity of $50.00M, 8.40M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
71
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
32
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
70
🔄 Convertible Debt
15

Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
model est. 34%
📜 Warrant Exercise model 40%
• Significant warrants: 29% of shares outstanding
• Elevated warrant risk score (70/100)
💰 Capital Raise model 38%
• Active shelf registration ($50M, 38% of market cap)
• Active ATM program with $50M remaining capacity
📉 Score Deterioration model 15%
• Score already CRITICAL (79/100) — events likely imminent
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Market Data

Market Cap$130.37M
Shares Outstanding28.84M
Float18.58M
Cash$26.2K
Debt$28.42M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore79/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding28.84MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float18.58MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$130.37MMarket data cache
Cash Runway0.0 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity$50.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$50.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants8.40MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 8-K 4, EFFECT 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 52.8% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
29 institutional holders · 1.53M shares
#1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 459.9K shares
#2 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 278.9K shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 223.2K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest294.6K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float1.6%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-08-19
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-08-19
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-09-18
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-09-18
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-09-02
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

Factual VWAV Dilution Snapshot

VisionWave Holdings, Inc. (VWAV) has a DilutionScore of 79/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

VWAV's DilutionScore is currently 79/100 (Critical risk), with 5 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score deteriorated from 80/100 (Critical risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 11 – Oct 13, 202679/100CRITICAL3 days
Sep 30 – Oct 10, 202680/100CRITICAL11 days
Sep 16 – Sep 29, 202670/100HIGH14 days
Aug 22 – Sep 15, 202669/100HIGH25 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202683/100CRITICAL7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202669/100HIGH29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

VWAV shares outstanding have increased 27.2% from 19.96M (Apr 2026) to 25.39M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 27, 202625.39M18.58M▲ 2.43%
May 26, 202625.39M18.14M▲ 29.59%
Apr 28, 202623.85M14.00M▲ 9.51%
Apr 24, 202623.85M12.78M▼ 0.03%
Apr 23, 202623.85M12.78M▼ 0.04%
Apr 13, 202619.96M12.79M▲ 10.86%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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