62 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

VTGN — Vistagen Therapeutics, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track VTGN dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Vistagen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 62/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Vistagen Therapeutics, Inc. has a market capitalization of $24.96M, 41.03M shares outstanding, 59 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 9.28M outstanding warrants, approximately 7 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
60
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
25
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
70
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
58%
🔄 Reverse Split 65%
• 50-day avg $0.61 below $1 exchange minimum
• 7 months cash with weak price
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 138% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
📜 Warrant Exercise 40%
• Significant warrants: 23% of shares outstanding
• Elevated warrant risk score (70/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$24.96M
Shares Outstanding41.03M
Float34.38M
Cash$30.79M
Debt$-1.51M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 7.7% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
59 institutional holders · 17.64M shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 3.15M shares
#2 ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC 3.06M shares
#3 TCG Crossover Management, LLC 2.68M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest1.59M
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float4.6%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Jul 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Mar 31, 2017
8-K 8K EVENT Apr 13, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 09, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 09, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for VTGN Shareholders

Vistagen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) has a DilutionScore of 62/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

DilutionWatch tracks 9.3M outstanding warrants for VTGN. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: VTGN has approximately 7 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for VTGN in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for VTGN alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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🔬 More Research for VTGN
📊 VTGN FDA Catalyst Timeline & Biotech Grade — BiotechSigns 📡 VTGN Signal Convergence & Dark Pool Activity — StonkWhisper

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