91 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

VELO — Velo3D, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track VELO dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 91/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Velo3D, Inc. has a market capitalization of $715.52M, 29.80M shares outstanding, 66 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $500.00M, ATM program capacity of $50.00M, 4.45M outstanding warrants, approximately 2 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
85
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
50
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌩️
Severe
Multiple high-probability dilution events detected
54%
💰 Capital Raise 93%
• Critical: only 2.4 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($500M, 70% of market cap)
📜 Warrant Exercise 15%
• Warrant overhang: 14.9% of shares outstanding
📉 Score Deterioration 15%
• Score already CRITICAL (91/100) — events likely imminent
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$715.52M
Shares Outstanding29.80M
Float10.29M
Cash$16.56M
Debt$35.43M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 19.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
66 institutional holders · 8.00M shares
#1 AWM Investment Company, Inc. 1.98M shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1.82M shares
#3 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC 668.1K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest4.95M
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float48.1%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
424B5 ATM Apr 27, 2026
8-K 8K EVENT Apr 27, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 08, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for VELO Shareholders

Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) carries a DilutionScore of 91/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 13, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for VELO is its shelf registration capacity of $500.0M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. VELO has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $50.0M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for VELO in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for VELO alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
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