81 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

TPST — Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track TPST dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. (TPST) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 81/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. has a market capitalization of $22.65M, 14.81M shares outstanding, 1 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 6.78M outstanding warrants, approximately 6 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
80
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
45%
📜 Warrant Exercise 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 46% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔄 Reverse Split 40%
• 50-day avg $1.85 approaching $1 threshold
• 6 months cash with weak price
💰 Capital Raise 15%
• Under 12 months cash (6mo)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$22.65M
Shares Outstanding14.81M
Float9.27M
Cash$16.24M
Debt$199.0K
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

1 institutional holders · 269.8K shares
#1 Versant Venture Management, LLC 269.8K shares

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest284.8K
Days to Cover1.2
% of Float3.1%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Feb 03, 2026
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2022
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for TPST Shareholders

Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. (TPST) carries a DilutionScore of 81/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 13, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

DilutionWatch tracks 6.8M outstanding warrants for TPST. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: TPST has approximately 6 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for TPST in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for TPST alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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🔬 More Research for TPST
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