79 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

SRFM — Surf Air Mobility Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SRFM dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 79/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Surf Air Mobility Inc. has a market capitalization of $124.49M, 100.40M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $11.50M, ATM program capacity of $15.00M, approximately 1 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
80
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌩️
Severe
Multiple high-probability dilution events detected
63%
💰 Capital Raise 93%
• Critical: only 1.0 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($12M, 9% of market cap)
🔄 Reverse Split 45%
• 50-day avg $1.21 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 1 months cash — financial pressure
🔁 Convertible Conversion 15%
• Convertible debt present: 10.6% potential dilution
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$124.49M
Shares Outstanding100.40M
Float80.29M
Cash$4.16M
Debt$16.50M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 5.76M shares
#1 Vanguard Group Inc 2.79M shares
#2 Geode Capital Management, LLC 552.4K shares
#3 Blackrock Inc. 415.8K shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest15.88M
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float19.8%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
424B5 ATM Apr 21, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 17, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 17, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for SRFM Shareholders

Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) carries a DilutionScore of 79/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for SRFM is its shelf registration capacity of $11.5M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. SRFM has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $15.0M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for SRFM in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for SRFM alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
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