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76 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

SRFM — Surf Air Mobility Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SRFM dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 76/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Surf Air Mobility Inc. has a market capitalization of $89.23M, 100.40M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include shelf registration capacity of $11.50M, ATM program capacity of $15.00M.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
80
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
35

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 53%
💰 Capital Raise model 73%
• Low cash runway: 4 months remaining
• Active shelf registration ($12M, 13% of market cap)
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 45%
• 50-day avg $1.21 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 4 months cash — financial pressure
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 15%
• Convertible debt present: 14.7% potential dilution
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Market Data

Market Cap$89.23M
Shares Outstanding100.40M
Float80.29M
Cash$18.43M
Debt$22.59M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore76/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding100.40MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float80.29MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$89.23MMarket data cache
Cash Runway4.4 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity$11.50MSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$15.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 4, 424B5 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 5.76M shares
#1 Vanguard Group Inc 2.79M shares
#2 Geode Capital Management, LLC 552.4K shares
#3 Blackrock Inc. 415.8K shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest15.33M
Days to Cover1.2
% of Float19.1%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-03-12
xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-12
424B5 ATM 2026-04-21
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-04-17
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-04-17
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual SRFM Dilution Snapshot

Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) has a DilutionScore of 76/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

SRFM's DilutionScore is currently 76/100 (Critical risk), with 1 score change tracked over 89 days. The score deteriorated from 79/100 (Critical risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 22 – Oct 13, 202676/100CRITICAL53 days
Jul 16 – Aug 21, 202679/100CRITICAL36 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

SRFM shares outstanding have increased 58.8% from 63.22M (Mar 2026) to 100.40M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 25, 2026100.40M80.29M▲ 0.64%
May 24, 2026100.40M79.78M▼ 0.39%
May 23, 2026100.40M80.09M▲ 3.25%
May 14, 2026100.40M77.57M▲ 30.40%
May 12, 202699.50M59.49M▼ 0.48%
May 02, 202697.89M59.78M▼ 8.33%
Apr 26, 202697.89M65.21M▲ 5.04%
Apr 20, 202676.99M62.08M▼ 1.02%
Mar 17, 202673.08M62.72M▲ 5.21%
Mar 16, 202663.22M59.62M▲ 47.31%
Mar 05, 202663.22M40.47M▲ 11.11%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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