Features Pricing Learn Reverse Splits Tracker Shelf & ATM Tracker Warrant Tracker PIPE Deal Tracker Weekly Report FAQ API Sign In →
71 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

SPCE — Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SPCE dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

🔔 Track SPCE — Get alerts when the score changes →

As of October 13, 2026, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 71/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $404.76M, 151.60M shares outstanding, 4 institutional holders tracked.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
80
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
32
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
model est. 12%
💰 Capital Raise model 15%
• Under 12 months cash (8mo)
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 10%
• 8 months cash with weak price
📉 Score Deterioration model 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (71/100)
🔔 Track SPCE — Get forecast alerts →

Market Data

Market Cap$404.76M
Shares Outstanding151.60M
Float100.48M
Cash$255.05M
Debt$219.04M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore71/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding151.60MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float100.48MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$404.76MMarket data cache
Cash Runway8.1 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 5, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

4 institutional holders · 9.35M shares
#1 BARCLAYS PLC 9.26M shares
#2 Marex Group plc 74.6K shares
#3 Norris Financial Group, LLC 14.0K shares
+ 1 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest36.84M
Days to Cover5.6
% of Float36.7%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-08-12
xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2024-02-27
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-04-09
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-04-09
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-04-09
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual SPCE Dilution Snapshot

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) has a DilutionScore of 71/100, rated High dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

SPCE's DilutionScore is currently 71/100 (High risk), with 1 score change tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 69/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 22 – Oct 13, 202671/100HIGH53 days
Jul 16 – Aug 21, 202669/100HIGH36 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

SPCE shares outstanding have increased 23.7% from 81.41M (Apr 2026) to 100.68M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 16, 2026100.68M100.48M▲ 23.68%
May 01, 202694.42M81.25M▲ 0.03%
Apr 11, 202681.41M81.22M▼ 0.03%
Apr 07, 202681.41M81.25M▲ 0.02%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

Track SPCE Dilution Risk in Real-Time
DilutionWatch monitors SEC filings 24/7 and alerts you the moment SPCE files a shelf registration, ATM offering, warrant notice, or convertible note. Free tier available — no credit card required.
Start Tracking SPCE — Free
Email alert within minutes of any SEC filing Daily DilutionScore™ recalculation Score history & trend tracking Tracks 8,000+ tickers simultaneously

Related Stocks — HIGH Risk

Other HIGH dilution risk stocks tracked by DilutionWatch with similar profiles:

Browse all 8,490+ tracked stocks →

📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations