69 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

SPCE — Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SPCE dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 69/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $645.51M, 100.68M shares outstanding, 4 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 7 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
80
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
17
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt—

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
12%
💰 Capital Raise 15%
• Under 12 months cash (7mo)
🔄 Reverse Split 10%
• 7 months cash with weak price
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (69/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$645.51M
Shares Outstanding100.68M
Float100.48M
Cash$219.89M
Debt$319.74M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

4 institutional holders · 9.35M shares
#1 BARCLAYS PLC 9.26M shares
#2 Marex Group plc 74.6K shares
#3 Norris Financial Group, LLC 14.0K shares
+ 1 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest42.11M
Days to Cover1.8
% of Float41.9%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2023
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 09, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 09, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 09, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 09, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for SPCE Shareholders

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) has a DilutionScore of 69/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

Cash runway is a key watch item: SPCE has approximately 7 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for SPCE in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for SPCE alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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🔬 More Research for SPCE
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Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.