65 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

SMG — The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SMG dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company has a market capitalization of $3.43B, 58.18M shares outstanding, 446 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 80.00M outstanding warrants.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
20
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
33%
📜 Warrant Exercise 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 137% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$3.43B
Shares Outstanding58.18M
Float44.52M
Cash$6.20M
Debt$2.35B
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 19.1% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
446 institutional holders · 54.76M shares
#1 BlackRock, Inc. 4.44M shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 3.92M shares
#3 BARCLAYS PLC 3.56M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest5.68M
Days to Cover6.6
% of Float12.8%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 29, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 29, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 29, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 29, 2026
8-K 8K EVENT Apr 09, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for SMG Shareholders

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

DilutionWatch tracks 80.0M outstanding warrants for SMG. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: SMG has approximately 0 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for SMG in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for SMG alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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