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81 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

SAFX — XCF Global, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SAFX dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 81/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. XCF Global, Inc. has a market capitalization of $124.72M, 410.82M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include ATM program capacity of $72.46M, 22.72M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
72
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
57
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
30
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 60%
💰 Capital Raise model 73%
• Critical: only 0.2 months cash remaining
• Active ATM program with $72M remaining capacity
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 70%
• 50-day avg $0.45 below $1 exchange minimum
• Only 0 months cash — financial pressure
📜 Warrant Exercise model 15%
• Warrant overhang: 5.5% of shares outstanding
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Market Data

Market Cap$124.72M
Shares Outstanding410.82M
Float120.42M
Cash$329.1K
Debt$123.49M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore81/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding410.82MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float120.42MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$124.72MMarket data cache
Cash Runway0.2 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$72.46MSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants22.72MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 3 1, 8-K 2, EFFECT 2, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 7.57M shares
#1 Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 2.13M shares
#2 Blackrock Inc. 1.78M shares
#3 Geode Capital Management, LLC 1.17M shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest7.79M
Days to Cover1.8
% of Float6.5%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-08-17
xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-06-15
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-08-27
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-08-18
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-07-31
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual SAFX Dilution Snapshot

XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) has a DilutionScore of 81/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

SAFX's DilutionScore is currently 81/100 (Critical risk), with 2 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score deteriorated from 83/100 (Critical risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 22 – Oct 13, 202681/100CRITICAL53 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202683/100CRITICAL7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202681/100CRITICAL29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

SAFX shares outstanding have increased 42.9% from 232.67M (Mar 2026) to 332.56M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 31, 2026332.56M120.42M▼ 33.99%
May 24, 2026332.56M182.42M▲ 5.80%
May 19, 2026332.56M172.42M▲ 13.44%
May 17, 2026299.75M152.00M▲ 20.74%
May 12, 2026299.75M125.90M▲ 6.11%
Apr 21, 2026294.95M118.64M▲ 10.32%
Apr 07, 2026275.45M107.54M▲ 40.26%
Apr 03, 2026232.67M76.68M▲ 72.99%
Mar 09, 2026232.67M44.33M▲ 3.19%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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