81 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

SAFX — XCF Global, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SAFX dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 81/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. XCF Global, Inc. has a market capitalization of $164.98M, 332.56M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include ATM program capacity of $72.46M, approximately 1 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
72
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
52
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
60%
💰 Capital Raise 73%
• Critical: only 0.7 months cash remaining
• Active ATM program with $72M remaining capacity
🔄 Reverse Split 70%
• 50-day avg $0.45 below $1 exchange minimum
• Only 1 months cash — financial pressure
📉 Score Deterioration 15%
• Score already CRITICAL (81/100) — events likely imminent
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$164.98M
Shares Outstanding332.56M
Float120.42M
Cash$1.05M
Debt$123.49M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 7.57M shares
#1 Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 2.13M shares
#2 Blackrock Inc. 1.78M shares
#3 Geode Capital Management, LLC 1.17M shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest8.60M
Days to Cover1.5
% of Float7.1%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Mar 31, 2026
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
3 FORM3 Jun 22, 2026
3 FORM3 Jun 22, 2026
3 FORM3 Jun 22, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

📋 What This Means for SAFX Shareholders

XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) carries a DilutionScore of 81/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

SAFX has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $72.5M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event. Cash runway is a key watch item: SAFX has approximately 1 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for SAFX in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for SAFX alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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