29 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

REAL — The RealReal, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track REAL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 29/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. The RealReal, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.16B, 120.49M shares outstanding, 248 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 7.89M outstanding warrants, approximately 19 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
25
📊 Float Risk
7
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
30
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
7%
📜 Warrant Exercise 15%
• Warrant overhang: 6.6% of shares outstanding
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$1.16B
Shares Outstanding120.49M
Float109.98M
Cash$123.95M
Debt$9.75M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 8.7% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
248 institutional holders · 134.13M shares
#1 FMR LLC 10.92M shares
#2 BlackRock, Inc. 9.11M shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 9.09M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest17.73M
Days to Cover4.5
% of Float16.1%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for REAL Shareholders

The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) has a DilutionScore of 29/100, rated Medium dilution risk. This tier indicates some dilution exposure — often an older shelf registration with remaining capacity, warrants not yet exercised, or a cash position that will require monitoring over the next several quarters. Score as of July 13, 2026.

DilutionWatch tracks 7.9M outstanding warrants for REAL. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for REAL in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for REAL alongside comparable medium-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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