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29 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

REAL — The RealReal, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track REAL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 29/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. The RealReal, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.18B, 121.67M shares outstanding, 248 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include 7.16M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
25
📊 Float Risk
7
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
30
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
model est. 7%
📜 Warrant Exercise model 15%
• Warrant overhang: 5.9% of shares outstanding
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Market Data

Market Cap$1.18B
Shares Outstanding121.67M
Float109.98M
Cash$119.13M
Debt$9.75M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore29/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding121.67MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float109.98MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$1.18BMarket data cache
Cash Runway18.1 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants7.16MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 2.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 8.7% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
248 institutional holders · 134.13M shares
#1 FMR LLC 10.92M shares
#2 BlackRock, Inc. 9.11M shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 9.09M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest17.37M
Days to Cover6.3
% of Float15.8%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-08-06
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-02-26
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual REAL Dilution Snapshot

The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) has a DilutionScore of 29/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

REAL's DilutionScore is currently 29/100 (Medium risk), with 2 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score deteriorated from 31/100 (Medium risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 22 – Oct 13, 202629/100MEDIUM53 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202631/100MEDIUM7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202629/100MEDIUM29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

REAL shares outstanding have increased 3.3% from 116.68M (Mar 2026) to 120.49M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 26, 2026120.49M109.98M▲ 0.03%
May 10, 2026120.49M109.96M▲ 1.26%
May 08, 2026120.46M108.58M▲ 0.12%
Apr 26, 2026118.98M108.45M▼ 0.11%
Mar 04, 2026116.68M108.57M▼ 0.14%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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