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74 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

ORGN — Origin Materials, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ORGN dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 74/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Origin Materials, Inc. has a market capitalization of $8.20M, 5.50M shares outstanding, 6 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include 35.48M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
39
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
85

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 55%
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 645% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 182% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
💰 Capital Raise model 35%
• Low cash runway: 5 months remaining
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Market Data

Market Cap$8.20M
Shares Outstanding5.50M
Float5.26M
Cash$19.19M
Debt$24.0K
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore74/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding5.50MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float5.26MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$8.20MMarket data cache
Cash Runway4.7 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants35.48MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 4, 8-K 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 95.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
6 institutional holders · 1.07M shares
#1 BARCLAYS PLC 476.7K shares
#2 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 279.9K shares
#3 MORGAN STANLEY 189.9K shares
+ 3 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

No current FINRA short-interest record is available for this ticker.

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-05-14
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-03-30
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-03-05
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-03-05
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-03-05
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual ORGN Dilution Snapshot

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) has a DilutionScore of 74/100, rated High dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

ORGN's DilutionScore is currently 74/100 (High risk), with 3 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 67/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Sep 28 – Oct 13, 202674/100HIGH16 days
Aug 22 – Sep 27, 202667/100HIGH37 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202658/100HIGH7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202667/100HIGH29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

ORGN shares outstanding have decreased 96.5% from 155.22M (Mar 2026) to 5.50M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 16, 20265.50M5.26M▲ 1.43%
Apr 07, 20265.43M5.18M▲ 4.86%
Mar 31, 20265.42M4.94M▲ 2.69%
Mar 20, 20265.42M4.81M▼ 96.67%
Mar 14, 2026155.22M144.38M▲ 0.23%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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