67 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

ORGN — Origin Materials, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ORGN dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 67/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Origin Materials, Inc. has a market capitalization of $8.20M, 5.50M shares outstanding, 6 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 5 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
39
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
43%
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 182% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
💰 Capital Raise 35%
• Low cash runway: 5 months remaining
🔄 Reverse Split 15%
• Only 5 months cash — financial pressure
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$8.20M
Shares Outstanding5.50M
Float5.26M
Cash$19.19M
Debt$24.0K
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 95.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
6 institutional holders · 1.07M shares
#1 BARCLAYS PLC 476.7K shares
#2 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 279.9K shares
#3 MORGAN STANLEY 189.9K shares
+ 3 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest206.3K
Days to Cover1.9
% of Float3.9%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2023
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Mar 05, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Mar 05, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Mar 05, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for ORGN Shareholders

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) has a DilutionScore of 67/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

Cash runway is a key watch item: ORGN has approximately 5 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for ORGN in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for ORGN alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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