34 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

NVAX — Novavax, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track NVAX dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 34/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Novavax, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.80B, 164.44M shares outstanding, 262 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 3.34M outstanding warrants, approximately 15 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
46
💰 Cash Runway
40
📊 Float Risk
22
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
7%
🔁 Convertible Conversion 15%
• Convertible debt present: 13.5% potential dilution
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$1.80B
Shares Outstanding164.44M
Float141.47M
Cash$790.33M
Debt$291.43M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 11.3% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
262 institutional holders · 150.69M shares
#1 SHAH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT 14.85M shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 14.26M shares
#3 BlackRock, Inc. 12.84M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest45.81M
Days to Cover9.3
% of Float32.4%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Jul 07, 2026
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for NVAX Shareholders

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) has a DilutionScore of 34/100, rated Medium dilution risk. This tier indicates some dilution exposure — often an older shelf registration with remaining capacity, warrants not yet exercised, or a cash position that will require monitoring over the next several quarters. Score as of July 13, 2026.

DilutionWatch tracks 3.3M outstanding warrants for NVAX. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: NVAX has approximately 15 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for NVAX in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for NVAX alongside comparable medium-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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