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34 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

NPCE — NeuroPace, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track NPCE dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 34/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. NeuroPace, Inc. has a market capitalization of $446.22M, 34.32M shares outstanding, 112 institutional holders tracked.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
42
💰 Cash Runway
25
📊 Float Risk
25
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
model est. 0%
No significant dilution signals detected for NPCE.
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Market Data

Market Cap$446.22M
Shares Outstanding34.32M
Float23.31M
Cash$51.70M
Debt$59.01M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore34/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding34.32MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float23.31MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$446.22MMarket data cache
Cash Runway20.3 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 1.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 1.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 24.8% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
112 institutional holders · 33.14M shares
#1 MORGAN STANLEY 7.66M shares
#2 Polar Capital Holdings Plc 3.30M shares
#3 Soleus Capital Management, L.P. 2.93M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest903.6K
Days to Cover6.2
% of Float3.9%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2022-03-10
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual NPCE Dilution Snapshot

NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE) has a DilutionScore of 34/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

NPCE's DilutionScore has held steady at 34/100 (Medium risk) for 89 consecutive days across the tracked period.

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Jul 16 – Oct 13, 202634/100MEDIUM89 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

NPCE shares outstanding have increased 2.4% from 33.31M (Mar 2026) to 34.09M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 30, 202634.09M23.31M▼ 0.21%
May 18, 202634.09M23.36M▲ 1.34%
May 17, 202634.09M23.05M▼ 0.98%
May 16, 202634.09M23.28M▲ 0.20%
May 14, 202634.09M23.24M▲ 1.27%
Apr 28, 202633.95M22.94M▲ 0.39%
Mar 26, 202633.67M22.85M▼ 0.01%
Mar 08, 202633.31M22.86M▼ 0.24%
Mar 07, 202633.31M22.91M▲ 0.51%
Mar 05, 202633.31M22.80M▲ 1.08%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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