Features Pricing Learn Reverse Splits Tracker Shelf & ATM Tracker Warrant Tracker PIPE Deal Tracker Weekly Report FAQ API Sign In →
37 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

NIO — NIO Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track NIO dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

🔔 Track NIO — Get alerts when the score changes →

As of October 13, 2026, NIO Inc. (NIO) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 37/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. NIO Inc. has a market capitalization of $8.59B, 2.47B shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
22
💰 Cash Runway
40
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄 Convertible Debt
85

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 37%
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 92% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
📉 Score Deterioration model 25%
• Score increased 12 points recently (worsening)
🔔 Track NIO — Get forecast alerts →

Market Data

Market Cap$8.59B
Shares Outstanding2.47B
Float1.89B
Cash$4.44B
Debt$1.33B
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore37/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding2.47BVerified float table or market cache
Public Float1.89BVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$8.59BMarket data cache
Cash Runway17.5 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 1.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 1.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 160.91M shares
#1 Shaw D.E. & Co., Inc. 38.33M shares
#2 Morgan Stanley 14.72M shares
#3 Renaissance Technologies, LLC 14.45M shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest131.13M
Days to Cover4.4
% of Float6.9%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-04-10
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual NIO Dilution Snapshot

NIO Inc. (NIO) has a DilutionScore of 37/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

NIO's DilutionScore is currently 37/100 (Medium risk), with 3 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 25/100 (Low risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 12 – Oct 13, 202637/100MEDIUM2 days
Aug 18 – Oct 11, 202625/100LOW55 days
Aug 14 – Aug 17, 202612/100LOW3 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202625/100LOW29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

NIO shares outstanding have decreased 0.6% from 2.37B (Mar 2026) to 2.36B (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 22, 20262.36B1.89B▲ 2.83%
May 17, 20262.36B1.84B▼ 3.11%
Apr 13, 20262.37B1.90B▼ 0.33%
Apr 12, 20262.37B1.90B▲ 1.35%
Apr 01, 20262.37B1.88B▼ 0.17%
Mar 12, 20262.37B1.88B▲ 1.69%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

Track NIO Dilution Risk in Real-Time
DilutionWatch monitors SEC filings 24/7 and alerts you the moment NIO files a shelf registration, ATM offering, warrant notice, or convertible note. Free tier available — no credit card required.
Start Tracking NIO — Free
Email alert within minutes of any SEC filing Daily DilutionScore™ recalculation Score history & trend tracking Tracks 8,000+ tickers simultaneously

Related Stocks — MEDIUM Risk

Other MEDIUM dilution risk stocks tracked by DilutionWatch with similar profiles:

→ EV / Battery sector dilution risk overview

Browse all 8,490+ tracked stocks →

📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations