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84 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

NCPL — Netcapital Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track NCPL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 84/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Netcapital Inc. has a market capitalization of $12.09M, 7.85M shares outstanding, 11 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include shelf registration capacity of $9.21M.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
50
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
35

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 57%
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 70%
• 50-day avg $0.49 below $1 exchange minimum
• Only 3 months cash — financial pressure
💰 Capital Raise model 55%
• Low cash runway: 3 months remaining
• Active shelf registration ($9M, 76% of market cap)
📉 Score Deterioration model 30%
• Score climbed 6 points (worsening)
• Score already CRITICAL (84/100) — events likely imminent
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Market Data

Market Cap$12.09M
Shares Outstanding7.85M
Float4.39M
Cash$2.47M
Debt$2.91M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore84/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding7.85MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float4.39MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$12.09MMarket data cache
Cash Runway3.4 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity$9.21MSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 3 1, 8-K 4, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 13.2% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
11 institutional holders · 222.4K shares
#1 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 72.2K shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 41.2K shares
#3 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 38.6K shares
+ 8 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest730.1K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float16.6%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2025-08-12
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2024-07-29
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-07-09
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-07-08
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-06-10
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual NCPL Dilution Snapshot

Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) has a DilutionScore of 84/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

NCPL's DilutionScore is currently 84/100 (Critical risk), with 4 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 78/100 (Critical risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 11 – Oct 13, 202684/100CRITICAL3 days
Oct 08 – Oct 10, 202678/100CRITICAL3 days
Sep 28 – Oct 07, 202684/100CRITICAL10 days
Sep 14 – Sep 27, 202687/100CRITICAL14 days
Jul 16 – Sep 13, 202684/100CRITICAL59 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

NCPL shares outstanding have decreased 0.0% from 7.85M (Mar 2026) to 7.85M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 12, 20267.85M4.39M▲ 0.67%
Mar 22, 20267.85M4.36M▲ 14.27%
Mar 05, 20267.85M3.81M▼ 30.69%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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