39 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

MSTR — Strategy Inc Dilution Risk Tracker

Track MSTR dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 39/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Strategy Inc has a market capitalization of $55.86B, 333.91M shares outstanding, 968 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include ATM program capacity of $2.10B, approximately 999 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
72
💰 Cash Runway
0
📊 Float Risk
7
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
9%
💰 Capital Raise 18%
• Active ATM program with $2100M remaining capacity
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$55.86B
Shares Outstanding333.91M
Float330.03M
Cash$2.21B
Debt$8.20B
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 17.6% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
968 institutional holders · 382.74M shares
#1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 32.13M shares
#2 Capital International Investors 31.44M shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 28.16M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest42.78M
Days to Cover1.3
% of Float13.0%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
8-K 8K EVENT May 04, 2026
8-K 8K EVENT Apr 27, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 24, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 22, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for MSTR Shareholders

Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a DilutionScore of 39/100, rated Medium dilution risk. This tier indicates some dilution exposure — often an older shelf registration with remaining capacity, warrants not yet exercised, or a cash position that will require monitoring over the next several quarters. Score as of July 14, 2026.

MSTR has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $2.10B remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for MSTR in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for MSTR alongside comparable medium-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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