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38 /100
COMPONENT-LIMITED
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

MSTR — Strategy Inc Dilution Risk Tracker

Track MSTR dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 38/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. This is a component-limited score because one or more material inputs are unavailable or not applicable. Strategy Inc has a market capitalization of $52.98B, 343.27M shares outstanding, 968 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include ATM program capacity of $2.10B.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
72
💰Cash Runway—
📊 Float Risk
2
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄 Convertible Debt
15

Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
model est. 9%
💰 Capital Raise model 18%
• Active ATM program with $2100M remaining capacity
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Market Data

Market Cap$52.98B
Shares Outstanding343.27M
Float330.03M
Cash$1.71B
Debt$6.71B
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore38/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding343.27MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float330.03MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$52.98BMarket data cache
Cash RunwayNot applicable / unavailableDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$2.10BSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 6.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 2, 8-K 3, XBRL 1.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 17.6% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
968 institutional holders · 382.74M shares
#1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 32.13M shares
#2 Capital International Investors 31.44M shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 28.16M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest29.38M
Days to Cover1.2
% of Float8.9%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-02-19
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-07-28
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-07-27
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-07-23
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-07-20
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual MSTR Dilution Snapshot

Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a DilutionScore of 38/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

MSTR's DilutionScore is currently 38/100 (Medium risk), with 1 score change tracked over 90 days. The score deteriorated from 39/100 (Medium risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 17 – Oct 13, 202638/100MEDIUM58 days
Jul 16 – Aug 16, 202639/100MEDIUM32 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

MSTR shares outstanding have increased 6.0% from 312.63M (Feb 2026) to 331.47M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 31, 2026331.47M330.03M▲ 0.01%
May 09, 2026330.81M330.03M▲ 1.35%
May 07, 2026330.75M325.62M▲ 3.65%
Apr 26, 2026329.29M314.16M▲ 0.05%
Apr 25, 2026329.29M314.01M▼ 0.04%
Apr 11, 2026327.13M314.13M▲ 0.01%
Mar 27, 2026325.95M314.11M▲ 0.13%
Mar 21, 2026320.44M313.70M▲ 0.05%
Mar 07, 2026314.11M313.53M▲ 0.03%
Feb 14, 2026312.63M292.97M—
Feb 13, 2026312.63M292.97M—
Feb 12, 2026312.63M292.97M—

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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Score Coverage Note