What is MBRX's dilution risk score?

MBRX has a latest available DilutionScore record of 92/100, categorized as critical dilution risk by the DilutionWatch scoring model. DilutionWatch displays SEC filing and dilution indicators for MBRX, including shelf registrations, ATM offerings, warrant exercises, PIPE deals, and reverse split signals when detected in source data.

What SEC filings does DilutionWatch track for MBRX?

DilutionWatch tracks 25 SEC filing types for MBRX including S-3 shelf registrations, 424B prospectuses (ATM offerings), S-1 registration statements, 8-K material events, warrant exercise notices, convertible note agreements, and Form 4 insider transactions. Alerts are delivered via email within minutes of a filing appearing on EDGAR.

How does stock dilution affect MBRX shareholders?

Stock dilution occurs when a company issues new shares, reducing the ownership percentage of existing shareholders. For MBRX, common dilution events include at-the-market (ATM) stock offerings, shelf registration drawdowns, warrant exercises, and convertible note conversions. Each event increases the share count and can pressure the stock price lower.

Is DilutionWatch free for MBRX tracking?

DilutionWatch provides a free tier that shows DilutionScores and basic filing history for MBRX. Premium plans ($19.95/month Basic, $39.95/month Premium) unlock real-time email alerts, the full Pulse™ feed, advanced dilution forecasts, and access to all 10,000+ tracked tickers.

MBRX Dilution Risk Score: 92/100 (CRITICAL)

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability

💰 Cash Runway

📊 Float Risk

⚠️ Warrant Exposure

🔄 Convertible Debt

Dilution Forecast

⛈️

Warning

High probability of dilution event

model est. 48%

📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%

• Massive warrant overhang: 39% of shares outstanding

• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)

💰 Capital Raise model 53%

• Low cash runway: 4 months remaining

• Active ATM program with $15M remaining capacity

🔄 Reverse Split model est. 15%

• Only 4 months cash — financial pressure

🔔 Track MBRX — Get forecast alerts →

Market Data

Market Cap$8.18M

Shares Outstanding19.48M

Float5.29M

Cash$7.26M

Debt$326.0K

Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

Field	Current Value	Basis
DilutionScore	92/100	DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding	19.48M	Verified float table or market cache
Public Float	5.29M	Verified float table or market cache
Market Cap	$8.18M	Market data cache
Cash Runway	3.7 months	DilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity	None in current score inputs	SEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity	$15.30M	SEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants	7.60M	SEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 3, 8-K 2, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 378.2% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)

3 institutional holders · 1.3K shares

#1 MORGAN STANLEY 926 shares

#2 BARCLAYS PLC 344 shares

#3 DANSKE BANK A/S 2 shares

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest204.6K

Days to Cover1.0

% of Float3.9%

FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-18

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2019-02-21

8-K 8K EVENT 2026-06-30

4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-06-24

Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual MBRX Dilution Snapshot

Moleculin Biotech, Inc. (MBRX) has a DilutionScore of 92/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

Stored ATM program remaining capacity: $15.3M.
Stored outstanding warrants: 7.6M.
Recent SEC activity tracked for MBRX: 8-K on 2026-06-30; 4 on 2026-06-24; 4 on 2026-06-24.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

MBRX's DilutionScore is currently 92/100 (Critical risk), with 4 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 79/100 (Critical risk).

Period	Score	Risk Level	Duration
Oct 01 – Oct 13, 2026	92/100	CRITICAL	13 days
Sep 21 – Sep 30, 2026	79/100	CRITICAL	10 days
Aug 22 – Sep 20, 2026	80/100	CRITICAL	30 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 2026	75/100	HIGH	7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 2026	73/100	HIGH	29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Track MBRX Dilution Risk in Real-Time

DilutionWatch monitors SEC filings 24/7 and alerts you the moment MBRX files a shelf registration, ATM offering, warrant notice, or convertible note. Free tier available — no credit card required.

Start Tracking MBRX — Free

Email alert within minutes of any SEC filing Daily DilutionScore™ recalculation Score history & trend tracking Tracks 8,000+ tickers simultaneously