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78 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

LYRA — Lyra Therapeutics, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track LYRA dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Lyra Therapeutics, Inc. (LYRA) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 78/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Lyra Therapeutics, Inc. has a market capitalization of $337.2K, 1.77M shares outstanding, 2 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include 15.79M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
46
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
92
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 60%
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 70%
• 50-day avg $0.66 below $1 exchange minimum
• Only 3 months cash — financial pressure
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 889% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
💰 Capital Raise model 35%
• Low cash runway: 3 months remaining
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Market Data

Market Cap$337.2K
Shares Outstanding1.77M
Float336.1K
Cash$15.89M
Debt$30.26M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore78/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding1.77MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float336.1KVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$337.2KMarket data cache
Cash Runway3.2 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants15.79MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 2.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 56.5% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
2 institutional holders · 105.7K shares
#1 SABBY MANAGEMENT, LLC 104.1K shares
#2 MORGAN STANLEY 1.6K shares

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest4.9K
Days to Cover4.1
% of Float1.4%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2024-11-12
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2022-03-09
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual LYRA Dilution Snapshot

Lyra Therapeutics, Inc. (LYRA) has a DilutionScore of 78/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

LYRA's DilutionScore is currently 78/100 (Critical risk), with 2 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 69/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Sep 28 – Oct 13, 202678/100CRITICAL16 days
Aug 14 – Sep 27, 202669/100HIGH44 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202681/100CRITICAL29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

LYRA shares outstanding have decreased 0.0% from 1.77M (Mar 2026) to 1.77M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 29, 20261.77M336.1K▼ 27.99%
May 18, 20261.77M466.8K▲ 17.97%
Apr 07, 20261.77M395.7K▼ 0.14%
Apr 03, 20261.77M396.2K▲ 0.14%
Mar 27, 20261.77M395.7K▲ 8.20%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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