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65 /100
COMPONENT-LIMITED
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

GRAF — Graf Global Corp. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track GRAF dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Graf Global Corp. (GRAF) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. This is a component-limited score because one or more material inputs are unavailable or not applicable. Graf Global Corp. has a market capitalization of $311.36M, 5.00M shares outstanding, 51 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include 17.50M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊Float Risk—
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
15

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 48%
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 350% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
💰 Capital Raise model 55%
• Critical: only 0.7 months cash remaining
📉 Score Deterioration model 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
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Market Data

Market Cap$311.36M
Shares Outstanding5.00M
FloatN/A
Cash$21.1K
Debt$5.7K
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore65/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding5.00MVerified float table or market cache
Public FloatNot availableVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$311.36MMarket data cache
Cash Runway0.7 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants17.50MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 2.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 6.1% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
51 institutional holders · 24.92M shares
#1 Magnetar Financial LLC 1.61M shares
#2 HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1.51M shares
#3 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 1.51M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

No current FINRA short-interest record is available for this ticker.

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-08-14
xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-08-14
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual GRAF Dilution Snapshot

Graf Global Corp. (GRAF) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, rated High dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

GRAF's DilutionScore has held steady at 65/100 (High risk) for 89 consecutive days across the tracked period.

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Jul 16 – Oct 13, 202665/100HIGH89 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

GRAF shares outstanding have decreased 0.0% from 23.00M (May 2026) to 23.00M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 23, 202623.00M16.88M▲ 400.00%
May 18, 202623.00M3.38M▼ 80.00%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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Score Coverage Note