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50 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

GERN — Geron Corporation Dilution Risk Tracker

Track GERN dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Geron Corporation (GERN) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 50/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Geron Corporation has a market capitalization of $783.82M, 642.47M shares outstanding, 256 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include 29.29M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
7
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
model est. 33%
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 45%
• 50-day avg $1.50 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 3 months cash — financial pressure
💰 Capital Raise model 35%
• Low cash runway: 3 months remaining
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Market Data

Market Cap$783.82M
Shares Outstanding642.47M
Float535.71M
Cash$62.64M
Debt$120.13M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore50/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding642.47MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float535.71MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$783.82MMarket data cache
Cash Runway3.4 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants29.29MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 2.

Recent SEC source mix: XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 21.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
256 institutional holders · 595.17M shares
#1 RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. 63.77M shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 53.34M shares
#3 BlackRock, Inc. 47.32M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest73.89M
Days to Cover7.4
% of Float13.8%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-02
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2018-03-16
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual GERN Dilution Snapshot

Geron Corporation (GERN) has a DilutionScore of 50/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

GERN's DilutionScore has held steady at 50/100 (Medium risk) for 89 consecutive days across the tracked period.

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Jul 16 – Oct 13, 202650/100MEDIUM89 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

GERN shares outstanding have increased 0.5% from 638.36M (Mar 2026) to 641.52M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 18, 2026641.52M535.71M▲ 6.46%
May 11, 2026641.52M503.20M▼ 1.64%
May 10, 2026641.52M511.57M▼ 4.16%
May 08, 2026640.90M533.79M▲ 4.50%
Apr 13, 2026640.90M510.78M▲ 0.01%
Mar 11, 2026640.54M510.72M▲ 0.01%
Mar 07, 2026638.36M510.66M▼ 6.07%
Mar 05, 2026638.36M543.67M▲ 0.06%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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