50 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

GERN — Geron Corporation Dilution Risk Tracker

Track GERN dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Geron Corporation (GERN) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 50/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Geron Corporation has a market capitalization of $801.90M, 641.52M shares outstanding, 256 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 1.62M outstanding warrants, approximately 4 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
42
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
7
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
33%
🔄 Reverse Split 45%
• 50-day avg $1.50 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 4 months cash — financial pressure
💰 Capital Raise 35%
• Low cash runway: 4 months remaining
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$801.90M
Shares Outstanding641.52M
Float535.71M
Cash$68.89M
Debt$119.83M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 21.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
256 institutional holders · 595.17M shares
#1 RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. 63.77M shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 53.34M shares
#3 BlackRock, Inc. 47.32M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest80.22M
Days to Cover4.7
% of Float15.0%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2015
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for GERN Shareholders

Geron Corporation (GERN) has a DilutionScore of 50/100, rated Medium dilution risk. This tier indicates some dilution exposure — often an older shelf registration with remaining capacity, warrants not yet exercised, or a cash position that will require monitoring over the next several quarters. Score as of July 13, 2026.

DilutionWatch tracks 1.6M outstanding warrants for GERN. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: GERN has approximately 4 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for GERN in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for GERN alongside comparable medium-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.