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87 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

DFDV — DeFi Development Corp. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track DFDV dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 87/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. DeFi Development Corp. has a market capitalization of $133.91M, 31.00M shares outstanding, 54 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include shelf registration capacity of $1.00B, ATM program capacity of $200.00M.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
60

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 51%
💰 Capital Raise model 73%
• Low cash runway: 4 months remaining
• Active shelf registration ($1000M, 747% of market cap)
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 40%
• Significant convertible debt: 22% potential dilution
• Elevated convertible risk (60/100)
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 15%
• Only 4 months cash — financial pressure
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Market Data

Market Cap$133.91M
Shares Outstanding31.00M
Float22.07M
Cash$3.75M
Debt$120.56M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore87/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding31.00MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float22.07MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$133.91MMarket data cache
Cash Runway3.8 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity$1.00BSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$200.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 1, 424B5 1, 8-K 1, EFFECT 1, S-3 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 22.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
54 institutional holders · 7.61M shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 2.20M shares
#2 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 940.0K shares
#3 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 428.5K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest4.67M
Days to Cover1.6
% of Float21.1%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-30
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-03-30
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-05-01
424B5 ATM 2026-05-01
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-04-27
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual DFDV Dilution Snapshot

DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV) has a DilutionScore of 87/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

DFDV's DilutionScore is currently 87/100 (Critical risk), with 2 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 83/100 (Critical risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 22 – Oct 13, 202687/100CRITICAL53 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202683/100CRITICAL7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202687/100CRITICAL29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

DFDV shares outstanding have increased 2.1% from 29.50M (Apr 2026) to 30.12M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 30, 202630.12M22.07M▼ 0.02%
May 26, 202630.12M22.08M▼ 0.02%
May 25, 202630.12M22.08M▲ 0.77%
May 21, 202630.12M21.92M▲ 2.10%
Apr 07, 202629.50M21.46M▼ 0.75%
Apr 01, 202629.50M21.63M▼ 6.06%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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