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84 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

CALC — CalciMedica, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track CALC dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, CalciMedica, Inc. (CALC) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 84/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. CalciMedica, Inc. has a market capitalization of $41.14M, 34.14M shares outstanding, 30 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include shelf registration capacity of $125.00M, 8.42M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
77
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
70
🔄 Convertible Debt
60

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 52%
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 65%
• 50-day avg $0.63 below $1 exchange minimum
• 11 months cash with weak price
📜 Warrant Exercise model 40%
• Significant warrants: 25% of shares outstanding
• Elevated warrant risk score (70/100)
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 40%
• Significant convertible debt: 22% potential dilution
• Elevated convertible risk (60/100)
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Market Data

Market Cap$41.14M
Shares Outstanding34.14M
Float8.94M
Cash$18.62M
Debt$6.70M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore84/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding34.14MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float8.94MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$41.14MMarket data cache
Cash Runway11.3 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity$125.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants8.42MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 4, FORM 4 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 64.6% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
30 institutional holders · 1.30M shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 338.2K shares
#2 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 178.5K shares
#3 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 128.1K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest86.4K
Days to Cover1.5
% of Float1.0%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-08-11
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-03-03
Form 4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-08-19
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-04-07
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION 2026-04-07
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual CALC Dilution Snapshot

CalciMedica, Inc. (CALC) has a DilutionScore of 84/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

CALC's DilutionScore is currently 84/100 (Critical risk), with 4 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score deteriorated from 87/100 (Critical risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 09 – Oct 13, 202684/100CRITICAL5 days
Sep 28 – Oct 08, 202687/100CRITICAL11 days
Aug 17 – Sep 27, 202683/100CRITICAL42 days
Aug 14 – Aug 16, 202678/100CRITICAL2 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202687/100CRITICAL29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

CALC shares outstanding have increased 9.6% from 14.41M (Jan 2026) to 15.80M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 15, 202615.80M8.94M▼ 1.95%
May 05, 202615.75M9.11M▲ 1.23%
Mar 09, 202614.41M9.00M▲ 18.91%
Mar 06, 202614.41M7.57M▲ 9.26%
Feb 14, 202614.41M6.93M—
Feb 13, 202614.41M6.93M—
Feb 12, 202614.41M6.93M—
Jan 30, 202614.41M5.63M—

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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