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44 /100
COMPONENT-LIMITED
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

BTCT — BTC Digital Ltd. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track BTCT dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 44/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. This is a component-limited score because one or more material inputs are unavailable or not applicable. BTC Digital Ltd. has a market capitalization of $8.14M, 9.52M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include 12.71M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
60
💰Cash Runway—
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 39%
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 133% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 30%
• 50-day avg $1.19 approaching $1 threshold
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Market Data

Market Cap$8.14M
Shares Outstanding9.52M
Float9.08M
Cash$350.0K
Debt$94.93M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore44/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding9.52MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float9.08MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$8.14MMarket data cache
Cash RunwayNot applicable / unavailableDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants12.71MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 3.

Recent SEC source mix: SC 13G 2, XBRL 1.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 133.3% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
10 institutional holders · 333.4K shares
#1 UBS Group AG 237.5K shares
#2 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 34.5K shares
#3 XTX Topco Ltd 18.0K shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest200.3K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float2.2%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2024-11-14
SC 13G BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP 2026-08-13
SC 13G BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP 2026-07-02
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual BTCT Dilution Snapshot

BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) has a DilutionScore of 44/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

BTCT's DilutionScore is currently 44/100 (Medium risk), with 5 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 31/100 (Medium risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 01 – Oct 13, 202644/100MEDIUM13 days
Sep 20 – Sep 30, 202631/100MEDIUM11 days
Sep 13 – Sep 19, 202628/100MEDIUM7 days
Aug 22 – Sep 12, 202627/100MEDIUM22 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202630/100MEDIUM7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202627/100MEDIUM29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

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Score Coverage Note