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39 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

ASTL — Algoma Steel Group Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ASTL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 39/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Algoma Steel Group Inc. has a market capitalization of $628.82M, 147.96M shares outstanding, 104 institutional holders tracked.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
40
📊 Float Risk
35
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

☀️
Clear
No significant dilution signals
model est. 0%
No significant dilution signals detected for ASTL.
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Market Data

Market Cap$628.82M
Shares Outstanding147.96M
Float72.04M
Cash$47.34M
Debt$682.78M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore39/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding147.96MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float72.04MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$628.82MMarket data cache
Cash RunwayNot availableDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 0.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 11.8% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
104 institutional holders · 76.78M shares
#1 Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 15.93M shares
#2 MMCAP International Inc. SPC 12.85M shares
#3 DONALD SMITH & CO., INC. 6.03M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest4.56M
Days to Cover5.9
% of Float6.3%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

No recent SEC insights

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

ASTL's DilutionScore has held steady at 39/100 (Medium risk) for 89 consecutive days across the tracked period.

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Jul 16 – Oct 13, 202639/100MEDIUM89 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

ASTL shares outstanding have increased 0.4% from 104.93M (Mar 2026) to 105.39M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 30, 2026105.39M72.04M▲ 4.86%
May 21, 2026105.39M68.70M▲ 0.23%
May 18, 2026104.93M68.54M▼ 7.35%
May 14, 2026104.93M73.98M▲ 4.04%
Apr 07, 2026104.93M71.10M▼ 0.06%
Mar 13, 2026104.93M71.14M▼ 3.32%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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