65 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

ARDX — Ardelyx, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ARDX dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Ardelyx, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.49B, 247.03M shares outstanding, 238 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 2.20M outstanding warrants, approximately 2 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
7
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
30%
💰 Capital Raise 55%
• Critical: only 2.5 months cash remaining
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$1.49B
Shares Outstanding247.03M
Float219.85M
Cash$31.21M
Debt$26.54M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 20.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
238 institutional holders · 208.47M shares
#1 BlackRock, Inc. 21.16M shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 20.73M shares
#3 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC 18.04M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest25.37M
Days to Cover4.0
% of Float11.5%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Jul 07, 2026
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2014
3 FORM3 Apr 03, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Mar 18, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Feb 25, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for ARDX Shareholders

Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 13, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

DilutionWatch tracks 2.2M outstanding warrants for ARDX. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: ARDX has approximately 2 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for ARDX in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for ARDX alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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