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89 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

ADGM — Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ADGM dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. (ADGM) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 89/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $2.75M, 22.21M shares outstanding, 24 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include ATM program capacity of $31.82M.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
72
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
80
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄 Convertible Debt
85

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 54%
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 860% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
💰 Capital Raise model 53%
• Low cash runway: 4 months remaining
• Active ATM program with $32M remaining capacity
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 45%
• 50-day avg $1.12 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 4 months cash — financial pressure
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Market Data

Market Cap$2.75M
Shares Outstanding22.21M
Float4.81M
Cash$7.74M
Debt$24.84M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore89/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding22.21MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float4.81MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$2.75MMarket data cache
Cash Runway3.8 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$31.82MSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding WarrantsNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 4 1, 424B3 2, EFFECT 2, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 9.5% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
24 institutional holders · 19.50M shares
#1 PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC 13.66M shares
#2 Sio Capital Management, LLC 1.29M shares
#3 ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C. 1.26M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest1.29M
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float26.8%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-08-11
xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-27
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-04-03
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-04-03
424B3 ATM 2026-03-27
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual ADGM Dilution Snapshot

Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. (ADGM) has a DilutionScore of 89/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

ADGM's DilutionScore is currently 89/100 (Critical risk), with 2 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 74/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Aug 22 – Oct 13, 202689/100CRITICAL53 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202674/100HIGH7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202683/100CRITICAL29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

ADGM shares outstanding have decreased 0.0% from 22.21M (Mar 2026) to 22.21M (Apr 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
Apr 03, 202622.21M4.81M▲ 21.35%
Mar 31, 202622.21M3.97M▲ 4.87%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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