56 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

ADCT — ADC Therapeutics SA Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ADCT dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, ADC Therapeutics SA (ADCT) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 56/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. ADC Therapeutics SA has a market capitalization of $432.45M, 127.19M shares outstanding, 118 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $37.50M, ATM program capacity of $37.50M, 27.74M outstanding warrants, approximately 19 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
66
💰 Cash Runway
25
📊 Float Risk
27
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
70
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
31%
📜 Warrant Exercise 40%
• Significant warrants: 22% of shares outstanding
• Elevated warrant risk score (70/100)
💰 Capital Raise 38%
• Active shelf registration ($38M, 9% of market cap)
• Active ATM program with $38M remaining capacity
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$432.45M
Shares Outstanding127.19M
Float100.41M
Cash$231.01M
Debt$4.63M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 10.6% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
118 institutional holders · 94.20M shares
#1 Redmile Group, LLC 15.47M shares
#2 TCG Crossover Management, LLC 11.39M shares
#3 MORGAN STANLEY 11.25M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest5.99M
Days to Cover3.4
% of Float6.0%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Mar 31, 2026
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2022
424B3 ATM Apr 15, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 02, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Mar 16, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for ADCT Shareholders

ADC Therapeutics SA (ADCT) has a DilutionScore of 56/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 14, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

The most significant dilution vector for ADCT is its shelf registration capacity of $37.5M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. ADCT has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $37.5M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for ADCT in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for ADCT alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

Understanding Shelf Registrations → How ATM Offerings Work → Warrants Explained →
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📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
🔬 More Research for ADCT
📊 ADCT FDA Catalyst Timeline & Biotech Grade — BiotechSigns 📡 ADCT Signal Convergence & Dark Pool Activity — StonkWhisper

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