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36 /100
MEDIUM RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

ADAG — Adagene Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ADAG dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Adagene Inc. (ADAG) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 36/100, rated MEDIUM dilution risk. Adagene Inc. has a market capitalization of $162.30M, 59.23M shares outstanding, 26 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include ATM program capacity of $200.00M, 10.00M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
0
📊 Float Risk
30
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
50
🔄 Convertible Debt
40

Dilution Forecast

⛅
Watch
Minor dilution signals detected
model est. 17%
📜 Warrant Exercise model 25%
• Significant warrants: 17% of shares outstanding
💰 Capital Raise model 18%
• Active ATM program with $200M remaining capacity
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Market Data

Market Cap$162.30M
Shares Outstanding59.23M
Float41.42M
Cash$74.52M
Debt$6.12M
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore36/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding59.23MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float41.42MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$162.30MMarket data cache
Cash Runway40.2 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$200.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants10.00MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 3 2, 424B5 2, 6-K 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 46.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
26 institutional holders · 4.52M shares
#1 HSG Holding Ltd 1.34M shares
#2 BARCLAYS PLC 1.05M shares
#3 Exome Asset Management LLC 736.8K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest2.11M
Days to Cover7.5
% of Float5.1%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-04-01
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2024-03-29
424B5 ATM 2026-04-02
424B5 ATM 2026-04-02
6-K 8K EVENT 2026-04-02
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual ADAG Dilution Snapshot

Adagene Inc. (ADAG) has a DilutionScore of 36/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

ADAG's DilutionScore is currently 36/100 (Medium risk), with 3 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 30/100 (Medium risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Sep 30 – Oct 13, 202636/100MEDIUM14 days
Aug 22 – Sep 29, 202630/100MEDIUM39 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202634/100MEDIUM7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202630/100MEDIUM29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

ADAG shares outstanding have increased 40.2% from 47.13M (Mar 2026) to 66.07M (Apr 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
Apr 20, 202666.07M41.42M▼ 0.48%
Apr 09, 202666.07M41.62M▲ 0.01%
Apr 07, 202647.13M41.61M▲ 36.44%
Apr 04, 202647.13M30.50M▼ 0.16%
Mar 22, 202647.13M30.55M▼ 7.25%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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