⚠️ CRITICAL RISK | 77/100
RAYA Dilution Risk Analysis: Erayak Power Solution Group Inc.
📅 March 2026🏭 Energy Tech📊 SEC EDGAR live
Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (RAYA) carries a DilutionWatch dilution risk score of 77/100 — CRITICAL, calculated from real-time SEC EDGAR filing data across five dimensions: shelf registration capacity, ATM program activity, warrant overhang, cash runway estimate, and historical share count growth.
RAYA Dilution Risk Score
Low (0)77/100 — CRITICALMax (100)
Key Risk Factors for RAYA
- Shelf registration capacity: Active S-3 or S-3/A filings indicate RAYA has pre-authorized equity offerings. Watch for 424B5 prospectus supplements — these mean an offering is executing now.
- ATM program activity: 424B3 filings indicate continuous share selling through an at-the-market program. These dilute shareholders daily with no formal offering announcement.
- Warrant overhang: Outstanding warrants represent shares that will be issued in the future — often at below-market prices when exercised.
- Cash runway: Energy companies often have limited cash relative to burn rate. Under 6 months of runway almost guarantees a dilutive capital raise.
- Historical pattern: Share count growth over 1-3 years is the strongest predictor of future dilution. Check RAYA's outstanding share count trend on the live page.
💡 Live Data
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