84 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

NCPL — Netcapital Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track NCPL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 84/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Netcapital Inc. has a market capitalization of $8.63M, 7.85M shares outstanding, 11 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $9.21M, approximately 3 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
50
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
54%
🔄 Reverse Split 70%
• 50-day avg $0.49 below $1 exchange minimum
• Only 3 months cash — financial pressure
💰 Capital Raise 55%
• Low cash runway: 3 months remaining
• Active shelf registration ($9M, 107% of market cap)
🔁 Convertible Conversion 15%
• Convertible debt present: 6.2% potential dilution
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$8.63M
Shares Outstanding7.85M
Float4.39M
Cash$2.47M
Debt$2.91M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 13.2% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
11 institutional holders · 222.4K shares
#1 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 72.2K shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 41.2K shares
#3 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 38.6K shares
+ 8 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest113.6K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float2.6%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Apr 30, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Apr 30, 2023
424B3 ATM Apr 14, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Apr 13, 2026
S-1/A SHELF Mar 24, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for NCPL Shareholders

Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) carries a DilutionScore of 84/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for NCPL is its shelf registration capacity of $9.2M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. Cash runway is a key watch item: NCPL has approximately 3 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for NCPL in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in NCPL's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for NCPL alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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