81 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

FLD — Fold Holdings, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track FLD dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

🔔 Track FLD — Get alerts when the score changes →

As of July 14, 2026, Fold Holdings, Inc. (FLD) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 81/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Fold Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $49.05M, 50.78M shares outstanding, 57 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 11 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
80
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
95
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
27%
🔄 Reverse Split 40%
• 50-day avg $1.32 approaching $1 threshold
• 11 months cash with weak price
💰 Capital Raise 15%
• Under 12 months cash (11mo)
📉 Score Deterioration 15%
• Score already CRITICAL (81/100) — events likely imminent
🔔 Track FLD — Get forecast alerts →

💹 Market Data

Market Cap$49.05M
Shares Outstanding50.78M
Float5.27M
Cash$11.53M
Debt$32.15M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 46.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
57 institutional holders · 7.10M shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 3.48M shares
#2 Blue Owl Capital Holdings LP 856.6K shares
#3 EverSource Wealth Advisors, LLC 494.5K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest833.8K
Days to Cover1.2
% of Float15.8%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Mar 31, 2026
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Mar 31, 2025
424B3 ATM Mar 04, 2026
424B3 ATM Mar 04, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Mar 03, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for FLD Shareholders

Fold Holdings, Inc. (FLD) carries a DilutionScore of 81/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

Cash runway is a key watch item: FLD has approximately 11 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for FLD in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for FLD alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

Track FLD Dilution Risk in Real-Time
Get instant alerts when SEC filings impact dilution risk. Free tier available.
Start Tracking FLD — Free
Real-time SEC alerts DilutionScore™ tracking No credit card required

🔗 Related Stocks — CRITICAL Risk

Other CRITICAL dilution risk stocks tracked by DilutionWatch with similar profiles:

Browse all 7,800+ tracked stocks →

📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
🔬 More Research for FLD
📊 FLD FDA Catalyst Timeline & Biotech Grade — BiotechSigns 📡 FLD Signal Convergence & Dark Pool Activity — StonkWhisper 📄 FLD Dilution Risk Analysis — Full In-Depth Report

Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.