87 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated May 21, 2026

DFDV — DeFi Development Corp. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track DFDV dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌩️
Severe
Multiple high-probability dilution events detected
61%
💰 Capital Raise 93%
• Critical: only 0.9 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($1000M, 739% of market cap)
🔁 Convertible Conversion 40%
• Significant convertible debt: 21% potential dilution
• Elevated convertible risk (60/100)
🔄 Reverse Split 15%
• Only 1 months cash — financial pressure
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$135.23M
Shares Outstanding30.12M
Float21.92M
Cash$6.38M
Debt$127.78M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 9.4% shares (2025Q4 vs prior)
55 institutional holders · 9.82M shares
#1 Pantera Capital Partners LP 1.73M shares
#2 VANGUARD GROUP INC 1.26M shares
#3 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 813.5K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest5.67M
Days to Cover6.8
% of Float25.9%
FINRA data as of Apr 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
424B5 ATM May 01, 2026
8-K 8K EVENT May 01, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Apr 27, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news
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🔬 More Research for DFDV
📊 DFDV FDA Catalyst Timeline & Biotech Grade — BiotechSigns 📡 DFDV Signal Convergence & Dark Pool Activity — StonkWhisper 📄 DFDV Dilution Risk Analysis — Full In-Depth Report

Part of the Guerilla Finance research network. Cross-reference multiple data sources for better due diligence.