87 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 06, 2026

DFDV — DeFi Development Corp. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track DFDV dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 06, 2026, DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 87/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. DeFi Development Corp. has a market capitalization of $117.16M, 30.12M shares outstanding, 54 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $1.00B, ATM program capacity of $200.00M, approximately 4 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
51%
💰 Capital Raise 73%
• Low cash runway: 4 months remaining
• Active shelf registration ($1000M, 854% of market cap)
🔁 Convertible Conversion 40%
• Significant convertible debt: 25% potential dilution
• Elevated convertible risk (60/100)
🔄 Reverse Split 15%
• Only 4 months cash — financial pressure
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$117.16M
Shares Outstanding30.12M
Float22.07M
Cash$4.49M
Debt$127.78M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 22.4% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
54 institutional holders · 7.61M shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 2.20M shares
#2 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 940.0K shares
#3 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 428.5K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest6.18M
Days to Cover5.1
% of Float28.0%
FINRA data as of Jun 15, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
424B5 ATM May 01, 2026
8-K 8K EVENT May 01, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Apr 27, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for DFDV Shareholders

DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV) carries a DilutionScore of 87/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 06, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for DFDV is its shelf registration capacity of $1.00B. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. DFDV has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $200.0M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for DFDV in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in DFDV's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for DFDV alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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