86 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

CALC — CalciMedica, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track CALC dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, CalciMedica, Inc. (CALC) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 86/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. CalciMedica, Inc. has a market capitalization of $12.91M, 15.80M shares outstanding, 30 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $125.00M, approximately 5 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
60
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
64%
🔄 Reverse Split 70%
• 50-day avg $0.63 below $1 exchange minimum
• Only 5 months cash — financial pressure
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 75% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
💰 Capital Raise 55%
• Low cash runway: 5 months remaining
• Active shelf registration ($125M, 968% of market cap)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$12.91M
Shares Outstanding15.80M
Float8.94M
Cash$8.16M
Debt$6.70M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 64.6% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
30 institutional holders · 1.30M shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 338.2K shares
#2 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 178.5K shares
#3 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 128.1K shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest1.65M
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float18.5%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 07, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 07, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 07, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for CALC Shareholders

CalciMedica, Inc. (CALC) carries a DilutionScore of 86/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for CALC is its shelf registration capacity of $125.0M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. Cash runway is a key watch item: CALC has approximately 5 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for CALC in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for CALC alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
🔬 More Research for CALC
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