81 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

BGL — Blue Gold Limited Dilution Risk Tracker

Track BGL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Blue Gold Limited (BGL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 81/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Blue Gold Limited has a market capitalization of $27.57M, 9.78M shares outstanding, 17 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include ATM program capacity of $75.00M, approximately 0 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
62
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
22
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
63%
💰 Capital Raise 73%
• Critical: only 0.3 months cash remaining
• Active ATM program with $75M remaining capacity
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 181% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
🔄 Reverse Split 45%
• 50-day avg $1.06 approaching $1 threshold
• Only 0 months cash — financial pressure
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$27.57M
Shares Outstanding9.78M
FloatN/A
Cash$307.7K
Debt$4.67M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↓ 47.6% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
17 institutional holders · 367.0K shares
#1 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 96.9K shares
#2 MORGAN STANLEY 45.4K shares
#3 Qube Research & Technologies Ltd 35.9K shares
+ 14 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest489.8K
Days to Cover1.0
% of FloatN/A
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
6-K 8K EVENT Apr 07, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 06, 2026
6-K 8K EVENT Mar 31, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for BGL Shareholders

Blue Gold Limited (BGL) carries a DilutionScore of 81/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

BGL has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $75.0M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event. Cash runway is a key watch item: BGL has approximately 0 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for BGL in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for BGL alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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