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100 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

SDST — Stardust Power Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SDST dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, Stardust Power Inc. (SDST) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 100/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Stardust Power Inc. has a market capitalization of $723.5K, 14.05M shares outstanding, 16 institutional holders tracked. Stored dilution-related fields include shelf registration capacity of $100.00M, ATM program capacity of $100.00M, 10.43M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
75
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
85

Dilution Forecast

🌩️
Severe
Multiple high-probability dilution events detected
model est. 76%
💰 Capital Raise model 93%
• Critical: only 1.0 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($100M, 13821% of market cap)
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 74% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 157% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
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Market Data

Market Cap$723.5K
Shares Outstanding14.05M
Float6.50M
Cash$540.3K
Debt$103.8K
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore100/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding14.05MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float6.50MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$723.5KMarket data cache
Cash Runway1.0 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf Capacity$100.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM Capacity$100.00MSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants10.43MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.

Recent SEC source mix: 424B2 1, EFFECT 3, S-3 1, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 40.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
16 institutional holders · 715.7K shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 398.4K shares
#2 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 85.1K shares
#3 UBS Group AG 69.7K shares
+ 13 more holders Sign up free to view →

Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.

Short Interest

Short Interest2.85M
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float43.8%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-08-13
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-08-13
424B2 ATM 2026-04-20
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-04-17
EFFECT EFFECT 2026-04-17
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual SDST Dilution Snapshot

Stardust Power Inc. (SDST) has a DilutionScore of 100/100, rated Critical dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

SDST's DilutionScore is currently 100/100 (Critical risk), with 3 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 94/100 (Critical risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 11 – Oct 13, 2026100/100CRITICAL3 days
Sep 28 – Oct 10, 202694/100CRITICAL13 days
Aug 22 – Sep 27, 202684/100CRITICAL37 days
Jul 16 – Aug 21, 202685/100CRITICAL36 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

SDST shares outstanding have increased 1.2% from 9.87M (Mar 2026) to 9.99M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 03, 20269.99M6.50M▲ 1.11%
Apr 18, 20269.97M6.42M▲ 0.16%
Apr 11, 20269.97M6.41M▼ 2.16%
Apr 07, 20269.97M6.56M▼ 5.42%
Apr 01, 20269.97M6.93M▲ 0.67%
Mar 27, 20269.97M6.89M▲ 1.78%
Mar 26, 20269.87M6.77M▼ 0.59%
Mar 11, 20269.87M6.81M▲ 2.07%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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