85 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

SDST — Stardust Power Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track SDST dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Stardust Power Inc. (SDST) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 85/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Stardust Power Inc. has a market capitalization of $24.12M, 10.58M shares outstanding, 16 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $100.00M, ATM program capacity of $100.00M, approximately 2 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
35
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌩️
Severe
Multiple high-probability dilution events detected
54%
💰 Capital Raise 93%
• Critical: only 2.3 months cash remaining
• Active shelf registration ($100M, 415% of market cap)
🔄 Reverse Split 15%
• Only 2 months cash — financial pressure
🔁 Convertible Conversion 15%
• Convertible debt present: 7.2% potential dilution
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$24.12M
Shares Outstanding10.58M
Float6.50M
Cash$1.24M
Debt$103.8K
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 40.9% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
16 institutional holders · 715.7K shares
#1 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 398.4K shares
#2 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 85.1K shares
#3 UBS Group AG 69.7K shares
+ 13 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest276.7K
Days to Cover2.7
% of Float4.3%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Mar 31, 2026
xbrl XBRL WARRANT Mar 31, 2026
424B2 ATM Apr 20, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Apr 17, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Apr 17, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for SDST Shareholders

Stardust Power Inc. (SDST) carries a DilutionScore of 85/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 13, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for SDST is its shelf registration capacity of $100.0M. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. SDST has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $100.0M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for SDST in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in SDST's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for SDST alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
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