89 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

RKDA — Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track RKDA dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. (RKDA) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 89/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.98M, 2.06M shares outstanding, 1 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include ATM program capacity of $3.94M, 982.1K outstanding warrants, approximately 5 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
66
💰 Cash Runway
85
📊 Float Risk
35
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
58%
📜 Warrant Exercise 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 48% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 227% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
💰 Capital Raise 53%
• Low cash runway: 5 months remaining
• Active ATM program with $4M remaining capacity
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$1.98M
Shares Outstanding2.06M
Float2.05M
Cash$3.72M
DebtN/A
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

1 institutional holders · 1 shares
#1 HARBOUR INVESTMENTS, INC. 1 shares

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest23.3K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float1.1%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Jul 07, 2026
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2015
424B3 ATM Feb 11, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Feb 10, 2026
S-3 SHELF Jan 28, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for RKDA Shareholders

Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. (RKDA) carries a DilutionScore of 89/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

RKDA has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $3.9M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event. DilutionWatch tracks 982,080 outstanding warrants for RKDA. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for RKDA in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in RKDA's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for RKDA alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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