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67 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Oct 13, 2026

NXGL — NEXGEL, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track NXGL dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of October 13, 2026, NEXGEL, Inc. (NXGL) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 67/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. NEXGEL, Inc. has a market capitalization of $37.14M, 9.75M shares outstanding. Stored dilution-related fields include 387.75M outstanding warrants.

This page includes automatically generated factual summaries from DilutionWatch data. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research. Read the full disclaimer and terms of service.

Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
46
💰 Cash Runway
65
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
90
🔄 Convertible Debt
85

Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
model est. 62%
🔄 Reverse Split model est. 65%
• 50-day avg $0.62 below $1 exchange minimum
• 7 months cash with weak price
📜 Warrant Exercise model 60%
• Massive warrant overhang: 3978% of shares outstanding
• Warrant risk score very high (90/100)
🔁 Convertible Conversion model 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 67% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
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Market Data

Market Cap$37.14M
Shares Outstanding9.75M
Float6.51M
Cash$1.55M
Debt$908.0K
Short InterestN/A

Source-Backed Evidence Depth

This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.

FieldCurrent ValueBasis
DilutionScore67/100DilutionWatch score record
Shares Outstanding9.75MVerified float table or market cache
Public Float6.51MVerified float table or market cache
Market Cap$37.14MMarket data cache
Cash Runway6.9 monthsDilutionWatch score inputs
Shelf CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
ATM CapacityNone in current score inputsSEC-derived dilution fields
Outstanding Warrants387.75MSEC-derived dilution fields

Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 5.

Recent SEC source mix: 8-K 3, XBRL 2.

The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.

Institutional Holdings

13.7% institutional ownership
Source: Yahoo Finance · Detailed 13F holder data available for tracked tickers
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Short Interest

Short Interest322.4K
Days to Cover1.0
% of Float5.0%
FINRA data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE 2026-08-17
xbrl XBRL WARRANT 2026-03-31
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-04-21
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-03-10
8-K 8K EVENT 2026-02-11
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

Recent News

No recent news available for this ticker.

Factual NXGL Dilution Snapshot

NEXGEL, Inc. (NXGL) has a DilutionScore of 67/100, rated High dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.

This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.

DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days

NXGL's DilutionScore is currently 67/100 (High risk), with 4 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 63/100 (High risk).

Period Score Risk Level Duration
Oct 11 – Oct 13, 202667/100HIGH3 days
Oct 01 – Oct 10, 202663/100HIGH10 days
Aug 22 – Sep 30, 202651/100HIGH40 days
Aug 14 – Aug 21, 202664/100HIGH7 days
Jul 16 – Aug 13, 202651/100HIGH29 days

Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.

Share Dilution History

NXGL shares outstanding have increased 4.1% from 8.14M (Mar 2026) to 8.48M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.

Date Shares Outstanding Public Float Change
May 02, 20268.48M6.51M▼ 2.03%
Apr 10, 20268.48M6.65M▲ 1.14%
Apr 03, 20268.14M6.57M▲ 4.08%
Mar 14, 20268.14M6.31M▼ 8.81%

Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.

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